FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 2 Oct 2026

Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.1 – 1.1
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Bosnia & Herzegovina favourites at 59%.

Sweden deserved more from the draw, creating 1.1 xG to 0.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Sebastian Nanasi, 62.5 in 95′.

Well above their usual level: Eric Smith +12.6, Sebastian Nanasi +11.6, Victor Lindelöf +11.1.

Well below it: Ivan Bašić −30.8, Esmir Bajraktarević −23.5, Edin Džeko −14.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

28 Sep 2026W 4–2at Romania UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 2026D 0–0at Poland UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2026L 0–2at USA World Cup 2026
24 Jun 2026W 3–1v Qatar World Cup 2026
18 Jun 2026L 1–4at Switzerland World Cup 2026

Sweden

28 Sep 2026W 3–1v Poland UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 2026W 2–1v Romania UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026L 0–3at France World Cup 2026
25 Jun 2026D 1–1at Japan World Cup 2026
20 Jun 2026L 1–5at Netherlands World Cup 2026

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Salko Hamzić Goalkeeper9500–57.2–
Nikola Katić Defender8700–56.5−10.9
Tarik Muharemović Defender9500–51.1−12.9
Kerim Alajbegović Midfielder87100.0847.4−7.1
Ermedin Demirović Forward76000.0141.8−10.8
Esmir Bajraktarević Forward95000.0239.3−23.5
Amar Memić Midfielder9500–38.9−7.1
Sead Kolašinac Defender9500–38.8−5.2
Haris Tabaković Forward3200–38.6–
Armin Gigović Midfielder9500–37.6−10.2
Ivan Šunjić Midfielder800–37.3–
Ivan Bašić Midfielder7600–36.8−30.8
Edin Džeko Forward6300–36.3−14.0
Jovo Lukić Forward1900–34.4–
Ermin Mahmić Midfielder1900–32.3–
Zinedin Smajlović Defender800–20.7–

Sweden

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Carl Starfelt Defender31000.3365.9–
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder9500–62.5+11.6
Viktor Gyökeres Forward95100.2561.5+8.9
Victor Lindelöf Defender95000.3859.2+11.1
Eric Smith Defender6400–56.5+12.6
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder9500–56.2+9.5
Alexander Bernhardsson Midfielder76010.0555.7+1.2
Jesper Karlström Midfielder9500–53.3+8.2
Hugo Larsson Midfielder9500–52.9+4.0
Besfort Zeneli Midfielder76000.0546.2−2.3
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper9500–45.8−1.8
Hampus Skoglund Defender9500–45.7–
Williot Swedberg Forward1900–41.7–
Lucas Bergvall Midfielder1900–39.8–