Scotland 1–2 Slovenia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.2 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 2.2 – 1.3
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Scotland favourites at 63%.
Slovenia won although Scotland made the better chances (2.2 xG to 1.3): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Danijel Šturm, 67.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Danijel Šturm +19.4, David Brekalo +17.2, David Zec +14.6.
Well below it: Andy Robertson −11.5, Angus Gunn −9.3, John McGinn −8.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Scotland
| 3 Oct 2026 | W 2–0 | at North Macedonia |
| 29 Sep 2026 | L 0–3 | v Switzerland |
| 26 Sep 2026 | D 0–0 | at Slovenia |
| 24 Jun 2026 | L 0–3 | v Brazil |
| 19 Jun 2026 | L 0–1 | v Morocco |
Slovenia
| 3 Oct 2026 | L 1–2 | at Switzerland |
| 29 Sep 2026 | W 2–0 | v North Macedonia |
| 26 Sep 2026 | D 0–0 | v Scotland |
| 7 Jun 2026 | L 1–2 | at Croatia |
| 4 Jun 2026 | D 1–1 | v Cyprus |
Head to head
| 26 Sep 2026 | Slovenia 0–0 Scotland |
Scotland
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McPake | 18 | 70.9 | – |
| Jack Hendry | 90 | 60.0 | +10.5 |
| Ryan Christie | 72 | 55.5 | +9.0 |
| Findlay Curtis | 17 | 55.5 | – |
| Billy Gilmour | 90 | 54.0 | +1.7 |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | 73 | 51.9 | +1.5 |
| Oliver McBurnie | 66 | 50.8 | +3.2 |
| Aaron Hickey | 24 | 50.6 | – |
| Lewis Ferguson | 90 | 50.5 | −6.9 |
| Kieron Bowie | 24 | 47.4 | – |
| Stephen Welsh | 66 | 46.4 | +0.3 |
| Andy Robertson | 90 | 40.9 | −11.5 |
| Angus Gunn | 90 | 39.5 | −9.3 |
| John McGinn | 87 | 38.4 | −8.7 |
| Robbie Ure | 3 | 36.9 | – |
Slovenia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danijel Šturm | 90 | 67.0 | +19.4 |
| David Brekalo | 90 | 61.9 | +17.2 |
| Jaka Bijol | 90 | 60.0 | +2.5 |
| David Zec | 90 | 58.6 | +14.6 |
| Jan Oblak | 90 | 56.1 | +7.3 |
| Aljoša Matko | 89 | 52.2 | – |
| Žan Karničnik | 90 | 50.3 | −2.9 |
| Erik Janža | 90 | 48.0 | +8.2 |
| Adam Gnezda Čerin | 90 | 47.6 | +1.5 |
| Žan Vipotnik | 79 | 46.5 | −2.2 |
| Žan Celar | 11 | 45.3 | – |
| Mark Zabukovnik | 90 | 42.2 | −6.4 |
| Srđan Kuzmić | 1 | 29.6 | – |