Ligue 1 25/26 · 16 Jan 2026

AS Monaco 1–3 Lorient

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Standout: Ansu Fati scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Pablo Pagis

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.9 – 1.1
Actual xG: 1.2 – 1.5
Goals: 1 – 3

Footybot made AS Monaco favourites at 54%.

Lorient won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Aleksandr Golovin, 70.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kassoum Ouattara +25.2, Wout Faes +22.1, Aleksandr Golovin +21.8.

Well below it: Philipp Köhn −18.4, Théo Le Bris −12.2, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng −12.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

AS Monaco

10 Jan 2026	W 3–1	at US Orléans Coupe de France
3 Jan 2026	L 1–3	v Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Auxerre Coupe de France
14 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
9 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Galatasaray Champions League

Lorient

10 Jan 2026	W 3–1	at Hauts Lyonnais Coupe de France
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Metz Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025	W 7–0	at AS Gosier Coupe de France
14 Dec 2025	D 0–0	at RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1

Head to head

27 Sep 2025	Lorient 3–1 AS Monaco Ligue 1

AS Monaco

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Ansu Fati Forward	20	1	0.54	100.0	–
Aleksandr Golovin Midfielder	90	0	0.11	70.7	+21.8
Kassoum Ouattara Defender	70	0	–	66.5	+25.2
Wout Faes Defender	90	0	0.05	63.1	+22.1
Maghnes Akliouche Midfielder	90	0	0.18	53.8	+0.3
Caio Henrique Defender	90	0	–	53.3	+5.3
Vanderson Defender	20	0	–	51.4	–
Denis Zakaria Midfielder	90	0	–	51.1	+2.3
Folarin Balogun Forward	89	0	0.28	49.2	−2.8
Eric Dier Defender	90	0	–	47.2	−4.2
Mika Biereth Forward	62	0	0.04	45.1	+1.0
Jordan Teze Midfielder	70	0	–	43.2	−6.4
George Ilenikhena Forward	28	0	–	38.9	–
Philipp Köhn Goalkeeper	90	0	–	30.4	−18.4
Paris Brunner Forward	1	0	–	0.0	–

Lorient

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Karim Dermane Forward	15	1	1	0.20	100.0	–
Joel Mugisha Mvuka Midfielder	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Nathaniel Adjei Defender	1	0	0	–	74.4	–
Yvon Mvogo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	63.8	+14.0
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Forward	75	1	0	0.74	63.7	−12.1
Arsène Kouassi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	62.4	+9.4
Igor Silva Defender	89	0	0	–	60.1	+11.4
Pablo Pagis Forward	75	0	0	0.20	59.5	+4.5
Jean Victor Makengo Forward	90	1	0	0.23	57.8	+10.8
Noah Cadiou Midfielder	89	0	1	0.02	54.7	+12.2
Montassar Talbi Defender	90	0	0	0.04	53.7	+0.8
Bamo Meïté Defender	90	0	1	–	53.1	+2.3
Laurent Abergel Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	51.5	+4.8
Mohamed Bamba Forward	15	0	0	–	46.3	–
Théo Le Bris Midfielder	89	0	0	–	37.7	−12.2
Martin Bley Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–