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Paris FC
Pablo Pagis

Pablo Pagis

Forward · Paris FC · 23 · France

30 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
48.9
Ligue 1 26/27, 7 matches
Last 5 weeks
51.6
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€20.0M
+€5.0M (+33%) since 1 Jun 2026
Transfermarkt, 24 Sep 2026

Photo: Kermaguer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
29 Dec 2002
Height
181 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2031
Wikipedia views
994 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

29 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 51.8 (minutes-weighted); 2 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 202617052.751.754.9
6–12 Oct 202619047.952.049.9
15–21 Sep 202616853.752.043.3
8–14 Sep 202617944.652.544.5
1–7 Sep 202616461.852.163.4
25–31 Aug 202617240.252.939.3
18–24 Aug 202618144.453.646.7
12–18 May 202616736.954.737.2
5–11 May 202612866.654.668.2
28 Apr – 4 May 202617266.454.158.6
21–27 Apr 202618274.452.875.7
14–20 Apr 202618246.553.448.9
7–13 Apr 202619065.952.569.2
31 Mar – 6 Apr 202617249.452.950.4
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202618056.052.759.3
17–23 Feb 202616770.051.862.3
10–16 Feb 202617462.351.153.0
3–9 Feb 202617358.350.762.3
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202617437.851.636.8
20–26 Jan 2026127100.050.4100.0
13–19 Jan 202617556.650.059.6
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 202619042.250.749.0
9–15 Dec 202517552.350.754.6
2–8 Dec 202517165.049.662.2
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202516445.649.846.1
18–24 Nov 202513153.649.755.2
4–10 Nov 202516961.048.761.1
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202529343.949.043.2
21–27 Oct 202516538.850.039.5
14–20 Oct 202517236.551.335.1
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202516052.051.359.0
23–29 Sep 2025118100.050.181.2
19–25 Aug 202513477.448.860.8
12–18 Aug 202516638.249.837.0

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−0.5 a week).

30.040.050.060.070.080.012 Aug28 Oct9 Dec3 Feb31 Mar28 Apr1 Sep13 OctScore 52.7Expected 51.7
30

On the breakout watchlist

A 35% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 53.8 over 2,045 minutes in the last year, down 5.2 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 3.8× below similar performers. Valued €20.0M against €19.0M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €20.0M +€5.0M (+33%) since 1 Jun 2026 24 Sep 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €18.4M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €13.2M–€27.8M +0% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +11% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Arnaud Kalimuendo at 23 (€22.0M, scoring 50.0) −9%; Dan Ndoye at 23 (€22.0M, scoring 49.2) +82%; Ivan Ilić at 23 (€18.0M, scoring 49.1) −44%.
0€5.0M€10M€15M€20M2023202420252026€20.0M€18.4M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€18.4M
24 Sep 2026Transfermarkt€20.0M
1 Jun 2026Transfermarkt€15.0M
27 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€10.0M
15 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
10 Oct 2025Transfermarkt€4.0M
2 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€3.5M
12 Mar 2025Transfermarkt€1.2M
4 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€800k
11 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€1.0M
26 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€1.0M
18 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€1.2M
16 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€1.5M
6 Apr 2023Transfermarkt€1.5M
28 Oct 2022Transfermarkt€600k
30 May 2022Transfermarkt€200k
30 Mar 2022Transfermarkt€100k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
17 Jul 2026FC Lorient Paris FC€15.0M
30 Jun 2024Stade Lavallois FC LorientBack from loan
8 Jan 2024FC Lorient Stade LavalloisLoan
30 Jun 2023Nîmes Olympique FC LorientBack from loan
31 Aug 2022FC Lorient Nîmes OlympiqueLoan

What the score is made of

Ligue 1 26/27: each part per 90 minutes against the average forward in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shooting −0.47
  • Creating +0.39
  • Progressing +0.15
  • Keeping the ball +0.24
  • Defending +0.30
  • Aerial −0.71
  • Finishing +0.04

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

05001.0K1.5K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Couhaib Driouech Celta Vigo · 24––98%Compare
Désiré Doué Paris Saint-Germain · 2165.3€120M96%Compare
Afonso Moreira Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 2151.0€30.0M96%Compare
Esmir Bajraktarević PSV Eindhoven · 21 · cheaper52.8€10.0M96%Compare
Nicolas Pépé Villarreal · 31 · cheaper56.3€6.0M96%Compare
Bukayo Saka Arsenal · 2564.9€110M95%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Pablo Pagis.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Ligue 1 26/27Ligue 1Paris FC752448.948.6
Ligue 1 25/26Ligue 1Lorient281,77155.354.5
Ligue 1 23/24Ligue 1Lorient316649.149.7

Latest matches

35 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1Stade RennaisW 4–370000.160.1652.7
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1at LorientL 0–190000.220.0647.9
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1RC StrasbourgW 2–168100.200.0653.7
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1Olympique LyonnaisD 0–079000.040.0344.6
6 Sep 2026Ligue 1at Olympique de MarseilleW 3–264010.040.9661.8
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1NiceW 3–07200–0.0340.2
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1at TroyesD 0–081000.260.0144.4
17 May 2026Ligue 1Le HavreL 0–267000.120.0236.9
10 May 2026Ligue 1at MetzW 4–02802–0.1766.6
2 May 2026Ligue 1at Paris Saint-GermainD 2–272100.260.1566.4
All 35 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1Stade RennaisW 4–370000.160.1652.7
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1at LorientL 0–190000.220.0647.9
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1RC StrasbourgW 2–168100.200.0653.7
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1Olympique LyonnaisD 0–079000.040.0344.6
6 Sep 2026Ligue 1at Olympique de MarseilleW 3–264010.040.9661.8
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1NiceW 3–07200–0.0340.2
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1at TroyesD 0–081000.260.0144.4
17 May 2026Ligue 1Le HavreL 0–267000.120.0236.9
10 May 2026Ligue 1at MetzW 4–02802–0.1766.6
2 May 2026Ligue 1at Paris Saint-GermainD 2–272100.260.1566.4
26 Apr 2026Ligue 1RC StrasbourgL 2–382100.910.2474.4
18 Apr 2026Ligue 1Olympique de MarseilleW 2–082010.250.0446.5
12 Apr 2026Ligue 1at Olympique LyonnaisL 0–290000.190.2165.9
5 Apr 2026Ligue 1Paris FCD 1–172010.090.1649.4
1 Mar 2026Ligue 1AuxerreD 2–280010.240.2756.0
22 Feb 2026Ligue 1at NiceD 3–367100.290.3170.0
15 Feb 2026Ligue 1AngersW 2–074100.150.2762.3
7 Feb 2026Ligue 1at Stade BrestoisL 0–273000.260.1658.3
31 Jan 2026Ligue 1NantesW 2–174000.010.0137.8
24 Jan 2026Ligue 1at Stade RennaisW 2–027100.780.13100.0
16 Jan 2026Ligue 1at AS MonacoW 3–175000.200.1256.6
4 Jan 2026Ligue 1MetzD 1–190000.760.1042.2
14 Dec 2025Ligue 1at RC StrasbourgD 0–075000.180.0852.3
7 Dec 2025Ligue 1Olympique LyonnaisW 1–071100.670.3365.0
30 Nov 2025Ligue 1NiceW 3–164000.070.1545.6
23 Nov 2025Ligue 1at NantesD 1–131000.040.0553.6
9 Nov 2025Ligue 1ToulouseD 1–169100.930.0261.0
2 Nov 2025Ligue 1at RC LensL 0–32500–0.0246.9
29 Oct 2025Ligue 1Paris Saint-GermainD 1–16800–0.0142.8
26 Oct 2025Ligue 1at AngersL 0–265000.130.0638.8
19 Oct 2025Ligue 1Stade BrestoisD 3–37200–0.0136.5
3 Oct 2025Ligue 1at Paris FCL 0–260000.460.0952.0
27 Sep 2025Ligue 1AS MonacoW 3–118200.300.02100.0
24 Aug 2025Ligue 1Stade RennaisW 4–034100.280.0277.4
17 Aug 2025Ligue 1at AuxerreL 0–16600–0.0138.2