Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 17 Jan 2026

Southampton 1–2 Hull City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.6 – 0.9
Actual xG
2.7 – 0.6
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 73%.

Hull City won although Southampton made the better chances (2.7 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ivor Pandur, 59.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Leo Scienza +17.2, Elias Jelert +14.6, Charlie Hughes +14.3.

Well below it: Taylor Harwood-Bellis −11.7, Liam Millar −10.4, Caspar Jander −8.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Southampton

4 Jan 2026L 0–4at Middlesbrough Championship
1 Jan 2026D 0–0v Millwall Championship
29 Dec 2025D 1–1at Birmingham City Championship
26 Dec 2025L 1–2at Oxford United Championship
20 Dec 2025D 1–1v Coventry City Championship

Hull City

1 Jan 2026L 0–1v Stoke City Championship
29 Dec 2025W 1–0at Middlesbrough Championship
26 Dec 2025D 2–2at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
20 Dec 2025W 1–0v West Bromwich Albion Championship
13 Dec 2025W 3–1at Millwall Championship

Head to head

20 Sep 2025Hull City 3–1 Southampton Championship

Southampton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ross Stewart Forward24100.3159.8–
Nathan Wood Defender9000–56.0+10.7
Leo Scienza Midfielder90010.1951.8+17.2
Joshua Quarshie Defender4500–48.2+8.6
Elias Jelert Defender4500–44.6+14.6
Jay Robinson Forward2300–43.2–
Finn Azaz Midfielder66000.6343.0+2.0
Flynn Downes Midfielder90000.0739.1−3.2
Tom Fellows Midfielder67000.0338.7+0.3
Caspar Jander Midfielder77000.7337.2−8.5
Adam Armstrong Forward90000.4737.1−8.3
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper9000–36.4−2.9
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender90000.1436.2−11.7
Ryan Manning Midfielder89000.1131.9−7.6
Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder1300–12.8–
Cameron Archer Forward100–0.0–

Hull City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper9000–59.2+5.8
Kyle Joseph Forward54100.2157.2+13.5
Charlie Hughes Defender90100.1854.3+14.3
Cathal McCarthy Defender4500–46.7–
Amir Hadžiahmetović Midfielder89010.0444.7+8.6
Oliver McBurnie Forward9001–44.1−1.5
Regan Slater Midfielder90000.0342.1+6.3
John Egan Defender9000–41.1−2.0
Matt Crooks Midfielder90000.0439.5−1.6
Joel Ndala Midfielder1400–36.9–
Lewie Coyle Defender76000.0734.7+3.6
Akin Famewo Defender4500–32.6+0.5
Liam Millar Midfielder75000.0530.7−10.4
Matty Jacob Defender3600–30.6–
John Lundstram Midfielder1500–23.4–
David Akintola Forward100–0.0–