VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 21 Jan 2026

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 79%.

AZ Alkmaar deserved more from the draw, creating 1.9 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ilias Bronkhorst, 59.9 in 78′.

Well above their usual level: Ilias Bronkhorst +14.7, Casper Widell +13.0.

Well below it: Wouter Goes −14.2, Mees De Wit −11.4, Arthur Zagre −10.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at PEC Zwolle Eredivisie
10 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v FC Volendam Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025	L 3–4	at Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
18 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Jagiellonia Białystok Conference League
11 Dec 2025	W 3–0	at FC Drita Conference League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Troy Parrott Forward	90	1	1.29	55.3	+7.9
Kasper Boogaard Midfielder	76	0	0.04	54.7	–
Jizz Hornkamp Forward	12	0	–	46.7	–
Alexandre Penetra Defender	90	0	0.04	45.6	−5.1
Ro-Zangelo Daal Midfielder	27	0	–	45.1	–
Isak Jensen Forward	63	0	0.04	43.8	−8.7
Jeroen Zoet Goalkeeper	90	0	–	43.7	−9.2
Peer Koopmeiners Midfielder	90	0	0.23	41.9	−9.3
Weslley Patati Forward	45	0	0.17	40.6	−4.0
Ibrahim Sadiq Forward	45	0	–	40.5	−8.2
Mees De Wit Defender	84	0	–	38.7	−11.4
Kees Smit Midfielder	90	0	0.12	38.6	−9.7
Elijah Dijkstra Defender	84	0	–	38.0	−6.6
Mateo Chávez Defender	14	0	–	37.9	–
Wouter Goes Defender	90	0	–	35.3	−14.2
Seiya Maikuma Defender	12	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gyan de Regt Midfielder	26	0	0	–	100.0	–
Miliano Jonathans Forward	12	1	0	0.60	100.0	–
Mike van Duinen Forward	12	0	1	0.17	65.5	–
Ilias Bronkhorst Defender	78	0	0	–	59.9	+14.7
Casper Widell Defender	90	0	0	–	56.0	+13.0
Derensili Sanches Fernandes Forward	78	0	0	–	53.6	+7.9
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.2	−0.6
Emil Hansson Midfielder	64	0	0	–	53.0	–
Lewis Schouten Defender	84	0	0	0.03	49.9	–
Irakli Yegoian Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	48.5	−0.6
Noah Naujoks Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	42.8	−6.5
Rick Meissen Defender	90	0	0	–	42.7	−1.8
Jerolldino Bergraaf Forward	78	0	0	0.26	42.7	+2.0
Arthur Zagre Defender	90	0	0	–	42.5	−10.8
Adam Carlén Midfielder	12	0	0	–	38.1	–
Nolan Martens Defender	12	0	0	–	36.6	–