FOOTYBOT
Matchday

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 10 Jan 2026

PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.4 – 0.8
Actual xG
2.3 – 0.5
Goals
5 – 1

Footybot made PSV Eindhoven favourites at 74%.

PSV Eindhoven won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lennard Hartjes, 59.1 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Lennard Hartjes +13.5, Ilias Bronkhorst +9.2.

Well below it: Stijn van Gassel −29.1, Couhaib Driouech −14.6, Ryan Flamingo −12.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

PSV Eindhoven

21 Dec 2025W 2–1at FC Utrecht Eredivisie
13 Dec 2025W 4–3v Heracles Almelo Eredivisie
9 Dec 2025L 2–3v Atlético Madrid Champions League
6 Dec 2025W 2–0at SC Heerenveen Eredivisie
30 Nov 2025W 3–0v FC Volendam Eredivisie

Excelsior

20 Dec 2025W 2–1v PEC Zwolle Eredivisie
5 Dec 2025L 0–2v FC Groningen Eredivisie
29 Nov 2025W 1–0v NAC Breda Eredivisie
22 Nov 2025W 2–1at AFC Ajax Eredivisie
8 Nov 2025L 1–2v Heracles Almelo Eredivisie

Head to head

27 Sep 2025Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ricardo Pepi Forward26101.0182.7–
Noah Fernandez Midfielder15000.0280.9–
Nicolas Verkooijen Midfielder800–64.6–
Kiliann Sildillia Defender14000.0659.0–
Dennis Man Midfielder90110.2456.8+1.4
Yarek Gasiorowski Defender90100.2551.9−2.4
Joey Veerman Midfielder9001–49.8−12.3
Ryan Flamingo Defender90100.1749.1−12.6
Esmir Bajraktarević Forward15000.0549.0–
Mauro Júnior Defender76010.0447.9−11.2
Matěj Kovář Goalkeeper9000–47.6−6.0
Guus Til Midfielder8201–46.4−7.7
Paul Wanner Midfielder75100.2545.8−1.0
Sergiño Dest Defender9000–45.2−5.0
Ivan Perišić Midfielder75000.0644.0−12.0
Couhaib Driouech Forward64010.1535.0−14.6

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Emil Hansson Midfielder2900–62.7–
Lennard Hartjes Midfielder4500–59.1+13.5
Ilias Bronkhorst Defender90100.2257.2+9.2
Rick Meissen Defender9000–52.5+6.1
Derensili Sanches Fernandes Forward90000.0852.0+5.7
Irakli Yegoian Midfielder90000.1851.6+2.0
Simon Janssen Defender6201–49.0–
Gyan de Regt Midfielder6100–48.6+0.6
Arthur Zagre Defender2800–47.4–
Mike van Duinen Forward1400–46.7–
Lewis Schouten Defender4500–45.8–
Casper Widell Defender9000–44.5−2.3
Jerolldino Bergraaf Forward76000.0341.5+0.8
Noah Naujoks Midfielder9000–40.7−9.4
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper9000–27.9−29.1