FOOTYBOT
Matchday

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 22 Nov 2025

AFC Ajax 1–2 Excelsior

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 0.7
Actual xG
1.4 – 0.5
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made AFC Ajax favourites at 48%.

Excelsior won although AFC Ajax made the better chances (1.4 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Noah Naujoks, 63.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Noah Naujoks +13.7, Youri Baas +8.9.

Well below it: Wout Weghorst −11.4, Derensili Sanches Fernandes −10.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

AFC Ajax

9 Nov 2025L 1–2at FC Utrecht Eredivisie
5 Nov 2025L 0–3v Galatasaray Champions League
1 Nov 2025D 1–1v SC Heerenveen Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025W 3–2at FC Twente Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025L 1–5at Chelsea Champions League

Excelsior

8 Nov 2025L 1–2v Heracles Almelo Eredivisie
1 Nov 2025D 2–2at SC Telstar Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025L 0–2at Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie
19 Oct 2025W 1–0v Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025L 1–2at SC Heerenveen Eredivisie

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

AFC Ajax

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Kasper Dolberg Forward33100.2870.7–
Owen Wijndal Defender1400–67.1–
Youri Baas Defender90000.1963.6+8.9
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder90000.1353.3+3.4
Youri Regeer Midfielder9000–52.3+3.5
Josip Šutalo Defender84000.0250.4−5.8
Mika Godts Forward9001–50.1−7.2
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder90000.1049.2−7.4
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Forward76000.2544.0−3.8
Remko Pasveer Goalkeeper9000–42.2−6.6
Anton Gaaei Defender5700–42.0+1.3
Wout Weghorst Forward90000.4840.4−11.4
Gerald Alders Defender7600–39.7–
Davy Klaassen Midfielder1300–36.3–
Raúl Moro Midfielder1400–0.0–

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Noah Naujoks Midfielder90200.2563.9+13.7
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper9000–59.8+5.4
Rick Meissen Defender9001–53.0+4.6
Adam Carlén Midfielder3800–52.9–
Lennard Hartjes Midfielder5200–51.2–
Stefan Mitrović Forward2400–50.0–
Ilias Bronkhorst Defender90000.0949.8−1.5
Gyan de Regt Midfielder90000.0848.6−5.7
Irakli Yegoian Midfielder9000–48.4−2.5
Casper Widell Defender8400–44.2−3.3
Jerolldino Bergraaf Forward66000.0243.3–
Derensili Sanches Fernandes Forward6600–40.0−10.5
Mike van Duinen Forward24000.0638.3–
Nolan Martens Defender8400–34.1–
Lewis Schouten Defender1300–32.1–
Simon Janssen Defender1300–28.9–