Ligue 1 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

Lille 1–4 RC Strasbourg

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Chances everywhere: 5.1 xG · Breakout watch: Mamadou Sarr

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Lille favourites at 55%.

RC Strasbourg won and made the better chances: 3.2 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Julio Enciso, 79.0 in 76′.

Well above their usual level: Martial Godo +29.7, Julio Enciso +29.4, Guéla Doué +18.0.

Well below it: Berke Özer −20.5, Tiago Santos −8.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

22 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Celta Vigo Europa League
16 Jan 2026	L 0–3	at Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1
3 Jan 2026	L 0–2	v Stade Rennais Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025	W 4–3	at Auxerre Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at BSC Young Boys Europa League

18 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v Metz Ligue 1
3 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Nice Ligue 1
18 Dec 2025	W 3–1	v Breidablik Kópavogur Conference League
14 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Lorient Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Aberdeen Conference League

9 Nov 2025	RC Strasbourg 2–0 Lille Ligue 1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Calvin Verdonk Defender	21	0	0	–	64.8	–
Matías Fernández-Pardo Forward	90	1	0	0.30	60.0	+12.5
Ayyoub Bouaddi Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	56.6	+13.1
Aïssa Mandi Defender	69	0	0	0.01	53.5	+1.1
Ethan Mbappé Midfielder	87	0	0	0.15	52.7	+0.3
Marius Broholm Midfielder	8	0	1	–	51.7	–
Soriba Diaoune Forward	21	0	0	0.54	50.1	–
Félix Correia Midfielder	10	0	0	–	48.2	–
Nathan Ngoy Defender	90	0	0	0.03	46.9	−2.4
Chancel Mbemba Defender	90	0	0	0.15	46.5	−2.4
Olivier Giroud Forward	80	0	0	0.28	44.7	−2.1
Ngal'ayel Mukau Midfielder	90	0	0	0.29	44.1	−4.2
Romain Perraud Defender	69	0	0	0.10	41.9	−7.2
Tiago Santos Defender	69	0	0	–	32.8	−8.2
Thomas Meunier Defender	21	0	0	–	29.4	–
Berke Özer Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	28.7	−20.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Julio Enciso Midfielder	76	1	1	1.08	79.0	+29.4
Martial Godo Midfielder	90	2	0	1.50	78.4	+29.7
Guéla Doué Defender	76	0	1	–	70.0	+18.0
Joaquin Panichelli Forward	87	1	1	0.27	62.6	+15.5
Mike Penders Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	62.0	+7.9
Ben Chilwell Defender	90	0	0	–	57.0	+9.9
Rafael Luis Midfielder	14	0	0	–	56.0	–
Valentín Barco Midfielder	90	0	0	–	54.1	−0.8
Mamadou Sarr Defender	90	0	0	–	54.0	+2.7
Abdoul Ouattara Midfielder	29	0	0	0.06	51.0	–
Diego Moreira Midfielder	76	0	1	0.28	50.0	−3.4
Ismael Doukouré Defender	90	0	0	–	50.0	+2.4
Samir El Mourabet Midfielder	61	0	0	–	45.8	−8.0
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Forward	14	0	0	–	43.1	–
Gessime Yassine Midfielder	8	0	0	–	39.1	–
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder	14	0	0	–	39.1	–