Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 31 Jan 2026

RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.4 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.4 – 2.3
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made RB Leipzig favourites at 66%.

1. FSV Mainz 05 won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Silas, 65.5 in 68′.

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAxGScore
El Chadaille Bitshiabu Defender5900–58.0
Willi Orbán Defender90000.2154.4
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder8600–53.6
Conrad Harder Forward90100.4951.4
Yan Diomande Forward9000–48.7
Antonio Nusa Forward90010.1448.4
David Raum Defender9000–46.4
Johan Bakayoko Forward1000–46.3
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder31000.1643.1
Rômulo Forward72000.2942.9
Tidiam Gomis Forward18000.0941.9
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper9000–41.3
Xaver Schlager Midfielder9000–40.0
Benjamin Henrichs Defender3100–33.1
Ridle Baku Defender59000.0631.7

1. FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Silas Midfielder68100.6765.5
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder72100.8260.5
Stefan Posch Defender9000–55.4
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper9000–51.3
Phillip Tietz Forward82000.5550.2
Danny da Costa Defender9000–50.2
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder90000.0150.0
Kaishu Sano Midfielder90000.1747.3
Kacper Potulski Defender9000–46.1
Stefan Bell Defender9000–44.4
Silvan Widmer Midfielder82000.0244.1
Paul Nebel Midfielder800–40.6
Lennard Maloney Midfielder1800–40.1
Benedict Hollerbach Forward14000.0838.2
Nelson Weiper Forward800–28.7
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder800–27.5