Liga Portugal 25/26 · 2 Feb 2026

Casa Pia 2–1 FC Porto

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Porto favourites at 59%.

Casa Pia won although FC Porto made the better chances (2.0 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jan Bednarek, 77.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Patrick Sequeira +22.2, Jan Bednarek +21.5, Pepê +10.9.

Well below it: Gabri Veiga −23.0, Diogo Costa −16.7, Samu Aghehowa −10.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

23 Jan 2026	D 3–3	v AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2026	L 0–3	at Sporting CP Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Rio Ave Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Vitória SC Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Tondela Liga Portugal

29 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Rangers Europa League
26 Jan 2026	W 3–0	v Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at FC Viktoria Plzeň Europa League
18 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Vitória SC Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Santa Clara Liga Portugal

24 Aug 2025	FC Porto 4–0 Casa Pia Liga Portugal

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Claudio Mendes Forward	8	0	0	0.22	79.2	–
Patrick Sequeira Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	63.1	+22.2
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder	90	1	0	0.66	55.1	+10.3
Jérémy Livolant Forward	90	0	1	0.01	53.9	+7.9
João Goulart Defender	90	1	0	0.06	52.2	+10.6
Oluwakorede Osundina Forward	34	0	0	–	52.0	–
David Sousa Defender	90	0	0	–	50.5	+1.5
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira Defender	90	0	0	–	45.9	–
Abdu Conté Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.6	+1.2
Rafael Brito Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	43.0	+1.7
Cassiano Forward	82	0	0	–	42.1	−4.3
Tiago Morais Forward	56	0	0	–	39.5	−1.5
Lawrence Ofori Midfielder	90	0	0	–	36.5	−9.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jan Bednarek Defender	90	0	0	–	77.7	+21.5
Pepê Forward	70	0	0	–	53.9	+10.9
Alan Varela Midfielder	57	0	0	0.02	52.6	+3.6
Thiago Silva Defender	71	0	0	0.07	50.2	+3.6
Pablo Rosario Midfielder	90	1	0	0.87	49.8	+1.1
Francisco Moura Defender	90	0	0	0.06	48.7	+1.5
Alberto Costa Defender	45	0	1	–	46.6	−2.5
Oskar Pietuszewski Forward	20	0	0	–	43.2	–
Borja Sainz Forward	57	0	0	0.24	41.2	−8.9
Samu Aghehowa Forward	90	0	0	0.06	40.0	−10.7
Martim Fernandes Defender	45	0	0	–	39.7	−5.4
Gabri Veiga Midfielder	90	0	0	0.63	38.6	−23.0
Victor Froholdt Midfielder	33	0	0	–	37.6	–
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	36.5	−16.7
Deniz Gül Forward	19	0	0	0.07	34.1	–
William Gomes Forward	22	0	0	–	0.0	–