EFL Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 17 Sep 2025

Swansea City 3–2 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 50%.

Swansea City won although Nottingham Forest made the better chances (2.5 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Igor Jesus, 85.7 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Ji-sung Eom +19.4, Cameron Burgess +15.9.

Well below it: John Victor −25.0, Dilane Bakwa −20.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

13 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v Hull City Championship
30 Aug 2025	W 2–0	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
26 Aug 2025	D 1–1	v Plymouth Argyle EFL Cup
23 Aug 2025	D 1–1	v Watford Championship
16 Aug 2025	W 1–0	v Sheffield United Championship

13 Sep 2025	L 0–3	at Arsenal Premier League
31 Aug 2025	L 0–3	v West Ham United Premier League
24 Aug 2025	D 1–1	at Crystal Palace Premier League
17 Aug 2025	W 3–1	v Brentford Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Žan Vipotnik Forward	11	1	0	0.19	100.0	–
Liam Cullen Forward	12	0	1	–	76.3	–
Benson Manuel Midfielder	64	0	0	0.04	60.1	–
Cameron Burgess Defender	90	2	0	0.33	57.0	+15.9
Ji-sung Eom Midfielder	90	0	1	0.06	54.6	+19.4
Ishé Samuels-Smith Defender	63	0	0	–	48.7	–
Ethan Galbraith Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	48.2	+5.4
Josh Tymon Defender	27	0	0	–	45.3	–
Kaelan Casey Defender	90	0	0	–	44.5	–
Gonçalo Franco Midfielder	63	0	0	–	42.7	+6.1
Andrew Fisher Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	41.9	–
Malick Yalcouyé Midfielder	86	0	0	0.04	41.2	+4.0
Melker Widell Midfielder	27	0	0	–	40.0	–
Adam Idah Forward	79	0	0	–	36.5	−1.4
Josh Key Defender	90	0	0	0.04	35.5	+0.9
Ronald Midfielder	26	0	0	–	31.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Igor Jesus Forward	45	2	0	0.87	85.7	–
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	28	0	0	0.39	73.0	–
Willy Boly Defender	90	0	0	0.03	49.8	–
James McAtee Midfielder	84	0	0	0.45	49.1	–
Arnaud Kalimuendo Forward	45	0	0	0.20	48.9	–
Oleksandr Zinchenko Defender	90	0	0	0.04	48.4	–
Morato Defender	45	0	0	–	46.8	–
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder	62	0	0	–	46.1	−20.4
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	14	0	0	–	44.2	–
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	28	0	0	0.02	42.2	–
Ryan Yates Midfielder	90	0	0	0.26	42.1	–
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	90	0	1	0.21	41.4	–
Jair Defender	45	0	0	0.04	41.4	–
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	62	0	0	–	40.9	–
Nicolò Savona Defender	90	0	0	–	30.7	–
John Victor Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	30.6	−25.0