VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 8 Feb 2026

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 AFC Ajax

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 65%.

AZ Alkmaar deserved more from the draw, creating 1.8 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mika Godts, 65.6 in 88′.

Well above their usual level: Sean Steur +12.4, Owen Wijndal +11.7, Mika Godts +10.5.

Well below it: Jizz Hornkamp −14.9, Alexandre Penetra −12.3, Isak Jensen −10.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Excelsior Eredivisie
28 Jan 2026	L 1–2	v Olympiacos FC Champions League
24 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v FC Volendam Eredivisie
20 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at Villarreal Champions League
17 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie

18 Oct 2025	AFC Ajax 0–2 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Wouter Goes Defender	90	1	0.91	53.8	+10.2
Ro-Zangelo Daal Midfielder	73	0	0.03	50.7	+6.8
Ibrahim Sadiq Forward	17	0	0.08	48.7	–
Jeroen Zoet Goalkeeper	90	0	–	43.8	−7.8
Troy Parrott Forward	90	0	0.33	43.3	−4.5
Jizz Hornkamp Forward	45	0	0.24	42.0	−14.9
Peer Koopmeiners Midfielder	90	0	–	41.5	−4.5
Isak Jensen Forward	73	0	0.02	39.2	−10.3
Mees De Wit Defender	90	0	0.01	39.0	−8.5
Kasper Boogaard Midfielder	90	0	0.02	38.3	−5.0
Matěj Šín Midfielder	45	0	0.03	37.0	−4.4
Mateo Chávez Defender	47	0	0.11	36.9	−8.3
Seiya Maikuma Defender	43	0	–	36.9	–
Weslley Patati Forward	17	0	–	35.5	–
Alexandre Penetra Defender	90	0	–	35.3	−12.3

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Forward	14	0	1	–	76.5	–
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder	24	1	0	0.12	76.2	–
Mika Godts Forward	88	0	0	0.30	65.6	+10.5
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder	14	0	0	–	59.8	–
Owen Wijndal Defender	76	0	0	–	58.7	+11.7
Vítězslav Jaroš Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.6	+6.1
Youri Baas Defender	90	0	0	–	58.5	+2.6
Rayane Bounida Forward	76	0	0	0.33	57.1	+2.0
Sean Steur Midfielder	76	0	0	0.06	56.5	+12.4
Wout Weghorst Forward	2	0	0	–	51.8	–
Josip Šutalo Defender	90	0	0	–	49.5	−2.9
Davy Klaassen Midfielder	66	0	0	0.10	48.4	+4.1
Youri Regeer Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.2	−3.0
Anton Gaaei Defender	90	0	0	0.06	43.6	−0.4
Kasper Dolberg Forward	90	0	0	–	41.9	−5.0
Oleksandr Zinchenko Defender	14	0	0	–	36.3	–