FOOTYBOT
Matchday

DFB Pokal 25/26, Round of 16 · 2 Dec 2025

Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 19% · Standout: Pascal Groß scored 95.7

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.5 – 0.6
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Borussia Dortmund favourites at 59%.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won although Borussia Dortmund made the better chances (1.5 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Aleix García, 71.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Mark Flekken +12.7, Aleix García +10.1.

Well below it: Alejandro Grimaldo −16.8, Felix Nmecha −14.2, Martin Terrier −9.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Borussia Dortmund

29 Nov 2025W 2–1at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
25 Nov 2025W 4–0v Villarreal Champions League
22 Nov 2025D 3–3v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025D 1–1at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025L 1–4at Manchester City Champions League

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

29 Nov 2025L 1–2v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
25 Nov 2025W 2–0at Manchester City Champions League
22 Nov 2025W 3–1at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025W 6–0v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025W 1–0at Benfica Champions League

Head to head

29 Nov 2025Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Pascal Groß Midfielder1600–95.7–
Julian Brandt Forward2300–67.5–
Emre Can Defender90000.0566.3–
Julian Ryerson Midfielder67000.0263.3+3.8
Karim Adeyemi Forward90000.6056.6+5.2
Maximilian Beier Forward2300–54.2–
Waldemar Anton Defender90000.4853.4−0.9
Carney Chukwuemeka Midfielder6700–52.4−0.5
Daniel Svensson Midfielder8600–51.0−0.3
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder90000.0250.7+2.0
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper9000–46.8−4.2
Fábio Silva Forward67000.0146.7–
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender90000.0546.5−7.9
Felix Nmecha Midfielder74000.1638.6−14.2
Ramy Bensebaini Defender1200–37.0–
Serhou Guirassy Forward23000.1236.5–

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Aleix García Midfielder90000.1071.7+10.1
Ibrahim Maza Forward90100.2664.4+2.4
Edmond Tapsoba Defender90000.2062.5+7.2
Mark Flekken Goalkeeper9000–61.2+12.7
Loïc Badé Defender100–52.4–
Robert Andrich Defender90000.0149.9+1.3
Jarell Quansah Defender9000–49.7−2.2
Alejandro Grimaldo Midfielder9000–48.1−16.8
Jonas Hofmann Forward8900–46.8−4.0
Christian Kofane Forward6100–46.7−6.0
Patrik Schick Forward29000.0344.5–
Ernest Poku Forward8300–44.4−7.4
Martin Terrier Forward6100–43.8−9.5
Malik Tillman Midfielder2900–41.0–
Nathan Tella Forward1500–36.1–