FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Coppa Italia 25/26, Round of 16 · 3 Dec 2025

SSC Napoli 1–1 Cagliari

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 19% · Chances everywhere: 16.8 xG · Standout: Sebastiano Esposito scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.7
Actual xG
8.7 – 8.2
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made SSC Napoli favourites at 70%.

SSC Napoli deserved more from the draw, creating 8.7 xG to 8.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Juan Rodríguez, 58.0 in 61′.

Well above their usual level: Sebastiano Luperto +12.6, Michel Adopo +8.7.

Well below it: Matteo Politano −35.3, Leonardo Spinazzola −25.3, Eljif Elmas −13.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

SSC Napoli

30 Nov 2025W 1–0at AS Roma Serie A
25 Nov 2025W 2–0v Qarabağ FK Champions League
22 Nov 2025W 3–1v Atalanta Serie A
9 Nov 2025L 0–2at Bologna Serie A
4 Nov 2025D 0–0v Eintracht Frankfurt Champions League

Cagliari

29 Nov 2025L 1–2at Juventus Serie A
22 Nov 2025D 3–3v Genoa Serie A
8 Nov 2025D 0–0at Como Serie A
3 Nov 2025L 0–2at Lazio Serie A
30 Oct 2025L 1–2v Sassuolo Serie A

Head to head

30 Aug 2025SSC Napoli 1–0 Cagliari Serie A

SSC Napoli

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
David Neres Forward16000.9864.1–
Sam Beukema Defender9000–57.7+6.4
Alessandro Buongiorno Defender22000.7650.4–
Juan Jesus Defender90000.7649.7−2.5
Mathías Olivera Defender74000.0746.5−3.5
Rasmus Højlund Forward22000.7644.2–
Lorenzo Lucca Forward68100.3243.6+0.3
Antonio Vergara Forward74010.0442.0–
Vanja Milinković-Savić Goalkeeper90000.7641.7−9.5
Scott McTominay Midfielder29000.9739.1–
Eljif Elmas Midfielder90000.7635.8−13.2
Giuseppe Ambrosino Forward6100–35.6–
Pasquale Mazzocchi Midfielder68000.1530.8–
Noa Lang Forward16000.7629.3–
Matteo Politano Midfielder90000.8125.3−35.3
Leonardo Spinazzola Defender90000.7620.0−25.3

Cagliari

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sebastiano Esposito Forward34101.02100.0–
Mattia Felici Forward11000.76100.0–
Gennaro Borrelli Forward35000.8980.6–
Juan Rodríguez Defender6100–58.0–
Matteo Prati Midfielder34000.8457.2–
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper9000–55.6+7.0
Adam Obert Defender90000.7655.6+7.6
Sebastiano Luperto Defender90000.7653.0+12.6
Michel Adopo Midfielder90000.7651.4+8.7
Zito Luvumbo Forward90000.7649.5−0.4
Alessandro Di Pardo Defender90000.7946.8–
Alessandro Deiola Midfielder85000.0546.3+2.5
Riyad Idrissi Defender29000.7642.5–
Semih Kılıçsoy Forward5600–40.8–
Leonardo Pavoletti Forward5500–39.9–
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder5600–37.8−7.6