FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Coppa Italia 25/26, Round of 16 · 4 Dec 2025

Bologna 2–1 Parma

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 0.7
Actual xG
2.0 – 0.4
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Bologna favourites at 65%.

Bologna won and made the better chances: 2.0 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jonathan Rowe, 62.8 in 70′.

Well above their usual level: Adrian Benedyczak +14.5, Jonathan Rowe +12.4, Mathias Løvik +11.4.

Well below it: Thijs Dallinga −15.0, Gaetano Oristanio −13.7, Mariano Troilo −9.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Bologna

1 Dec 2025L 1–3v Cremonese Serie A
27 Nov 2025W 4–1v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
22 Nov 2025W 3–0at Udinese Serie A
9 Nov 2025W 2–0v SSC Napoli Serie A
6 Nov 2025D 0–0v SK Brann Europa League

Parma

29 Nov 2025L 0–2v Udinese Serie A
23 Nov 2025W 2–1at Hellas Verona Serie A
8 Nov 2025D 2–2v AC Milan Serie A
2 Nov 2025L 1–3v Bologna Serie A
29 Oct 2025L 1–2at AS Roma Serie A

Head to head

2 Nov 2025Parma 1–3 Bologna Serie A

Bologna

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Santiago Castro Forward20100.1695.1–
Benjamín Domínguez Midfielder2000–62.8–
Jonathan Rowe Forward70100.7462.8+12.4
Federico Bernardeschi Forward80000.1259.4+5.1
Torbjørn Heggem Defender90000.0558.2+10.0
Jhon Lucumí Defender90000.0955.9+6.0
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper9000–52.6−1.0
Charalampos Lykogiannis Defender90000.0451.6−2.9
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder9000–48.9−0.4
Ibrahim Sulemana Midfielder70000.0645.4–
Emil Holm Defender9001–45.3−8.5
Tommaso Pobega Midfielder2000–44.7–
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder80000.7244.7+3.4
Thijs Dallinga Forward7000–36.2−15.0
Ciro Immobile Forward1000–29.7–
Jens Odgaard Midfielder1000–27.9–

Parma

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Vicente Guaita Goalkeeper9000–57.1–
Patrick Cutrone Forward2500–57.0–
Adrian Benedyczak Forward65100.2857.0+14.5
Mariano Troilo Defender9000–50.4−9.8
Mathias Løvik Defender90010.1049.8+11.4
Nahuel Estévez Midfielder3500–48.9–
Jacob Ondrejka Forward4500–48.2–
Milan Đurić Forward900–42.2–
Christian Ordoñez Midfielder8600–42.0+2.3
Mandela Keita Midfielder9000–41.5−3.7
Sascha Britschgi Defender9000–41.4+3.2
Benjamin Cremaschi Midfielder8600–40.9+0.6
Hernani Midfielder9000.0640.4–
Nicolas Trabucchi Defender5500–37.4–
Enrico Delprato Defender9000–34.3−9.2
Gaetano Oristanio Midfielder4500–32.7−13.7