FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 9 Jan 2026

Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Oxford United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Milton Keynes Dons favourites at 74%.

Milton Keynes Dons deserved more from the draw, creating 5.8 xG to 4.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matt Ingram, 59.9 in 120′.

Well above their usual level: Michał Helik +17.3.

Well below it: Sam Long −16.9, Brian De Keersmaecker −11.4, Jack Currie −11.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Ipswich Town Championship
29 Dec 2025	L 0–1	v Swansea City Championship
26 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Southampton Championship
20 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship
13 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Preston North End Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Craig McGillivray Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	56.0	–
Jack Sanders Defender	120	0	0	0.87	51.7	–
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans Midfielder	120	0	1	0.76	45.6	–
Aaron Collins Forward	120	1	0	1.40	43.5	–
Jay Matete Midfielder	48	0	0	0.76	41.4	–
Scott Hogan Forward	72	0	0	0.40	38.8	–
Gethin Jones Midfielder	98	0	0	–	38.0	–
Liam Kelly Midfielder	48	0	0	–	36.6	–
Kane Thompson-Sommers Midfielder	72	0	0	–	36.2	–
Ben Wiles Midfielder	72	0	0	0.02	34.9	–
Aaron Nemane Midfielder	59	0	0	–	34.5	–
Dan Crowley Midfielder	79	0	0	–	34.0	–
Jonathan Leko Forward	41	0	0	0.76	33.3	–
Callum Paterson Forward	48	0	0	0.77	31.8	–
Luke Offord Defender	120	0	0	0.02	25.7	–
Callum Tripp Defender	61	0	0	–	13.4	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Matt Ingram Goalkeeper	120	0	–	59.9	–
Michał Helik Defender	120	0	–	55.0	+17.3
Will Lankshear Forward	89	1	0.54	47.1	+7.6
Ben Davies Defender	120	0	–	44.2	+2.5
Filip Krastev Midfielder	55	0	0.02	40.3	−8.3
Siriki Dembélé Midfielder	66	0	0.04	38.7	−0.2
Mark Harris Forward	31	0	0.76	37.1	–
Matt Phillips Forward	22	0	0.76	36.5	–
Cameron Brannagan Midfielder	65	0	0.01	35.4	−3.6
Ole Romeny Forward	54	0	1.16	34.6	–
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder	103	0	1.24	31.3	–
Brian De Keersmaecker Midfielder	54	0	0.07	30.1	−11.4
Will Vaulks Midfielder	66	0	–	28.2	−8.6
Stanley Mills Midfielder	98	0	0.23	26.5	−6.7
Jack Currie Defender	120	0	–	25.3	−11.1
Sam Long Defender	120	0	–	21.6	−16.9
Jamie Donley Midfielder	17	0	–	13.3	–