FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 10 Jan 2026

Stoke City 1–0 Coventry City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Coventry City favourites at 42%.

Stoke City won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tommy Simkin, 54.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ashley Phillips +11.4, Tomáš Rigo +10.4, Lamine Cissé +8.1.

Well below it: Luke Woolfenden −8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Norwich City Championship
1 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Hull City Championship
29 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Sheffield United Championship
26 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Preston North End Championship
20 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Watford Championship

4 Jan 2026	L 2–3	at Birmingham City Championship
1 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship
29 Dec 2025	L 0–2	v Ipswich Town Championship
26 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Swansea City Championship
20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Southampton Championship

8 Nov 2025	Stoke City 0–1 Coventry City Championship

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Tommy Simkin Goalkeeper	90	0	–	54.6	–
Ashley Phillips Defender	90	0	–	51.8	+11.4
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder	76	0	0.09	50.8	+10.4
Lamine Cissé Forward	90	1	0.40	48.6	+8.1
Maksym Talovierov Defender	90	0	0.73	47.0	+5.6
Million Manhoef Midfielder	76	0	0.20	40.8	+5.4
Ben Wilmot Defender	90	0	0.32	38.9	−3.5
Ben Pearson Midfielder	90	0	–	37.7	−1.0
Bosun Lawal Defender	90	0	–	36.3	−1.8
Divin Mubama Forward	76	0	0.83	35.8	−6.8
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder	90	0	–	33.5	−2.8
Sam Gallagher Forward	14	0	–	32.3	–
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder	14	0	–	28.1	–
Sorba Thomas Midfielder	14	0	–	8.0	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Ephron Mason-Clark Midfielder	18	–	56.7	–
Josh Eccles Midfielder	90	–	49.3	+5.3
Liam Kitching Defender	79	–	47.4	−5.2
Ben Wilson Goalkeeper	90	–	46.6	–
Joel Latibeaudiere Defender	90	–	45.5	–
Haji Wright Forward	72	0.79	43.4	+3.4
Romain Esse Midfielder	90	0.08	40.1	+0.8
Luke Woolfenden Defender	90	–	39.8	−8.1
Ellis Simms Forward	18	–	38.8	–
Kai Andrews Midfielder	90	–	38.5	–
Yang Min-hyeok Midfielder	72	0.07	36.6	+0.9
Jake Bidwell Defender	90	0.17	35.9	−2.4
Jack Rudoni Midfielder	73	0.11	32.2	−7.6
Milan van Ewijk Defender	11	–	29.5	–
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto Midfielder	17	–	24.6	–