Championship 25/26 · 20 Dec 2025

Watford 1–0 Stoke City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Watford favourites at 58%.

Watford won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Egil Selvik, 56.8 in 90′.

Well below it: Sorba Thomas −13.9, Tom Ince −13.1, Jeremy Ngakia −13.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

13 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Wrexham Championship
9 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
6 Dec 2025	W 3–2	v Norwich City Championship
1 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Birmingham City Championship
25 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Preston North End Championship

13 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Swansea City Championship
10 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Ipswich Town Championship
6 Dec 2025	L 0–4	at Sheffield United Championship
29 Nov 2025	L 1–2	v Hull City Championship
25 Nov 2025	W 3–0	v Charlton Athletic Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.8	+5.6
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	76	1	0	0.54	48.6	+4.7
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder	90	0	1	–	45.2	+4.2
Nestory Irankunda Forward	14	0	0	–	44.0	–
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder	8	0	0	–	40.5	–
Vivaldo Forward	25	0	0	0.12	40.3	–
Matthew Pollock Defender	90	0	0	0.10	39.8	−5.0
Imrân Louza Midfielder	89	0	0	0.04	38.4	−12.4
Max Alleyne Defender	90	0	0	–	35.9	−5.1
Marc Bola Defender	90	0	0	–	31.7	−3.4
Tom Ince Midfielder	65	0	0	0.33	29.5	−13.1
Othmane Maamma Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	28.6	−5.7
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder	76	0	0	–	28.4	−1.4
Jeremy Ngakia Defender	90	0	0	–	26.0	−13.1
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder	14	0	0	–	17.6	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Divin Mubama Forward	13	0.02	61.6	–
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper	90	–	53.7	+1.6
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder	25	–	49.2	–
Ashley Phillips Defender	90	–	46.5	+2.4
Steven N'Zonzi Midfielder	65	–	44.9	+1.6
Ben Wilmot Defender	90	–	44.4	+1.6
Ben Pearson Midfielder	25	–	42.0	–
Aaron Cresswell Defender	90	–	40.0	+5.0
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder	77	–	38.7	−2.6
Sam Gallagher Forward	45	0.07	38.4	–
Million Manhoef Midfielder	90	0.17	38.2	−1.4
Bosun Lawal Defender	65	–	37.4	−6.5
Róbert Boženík Forward	45	0.10	35.8	−4.7
Maksym Talovierov Defender	90	–	30.1	–
Sorba Thomas Midfielder	90	0.15	25.4	−13.9