FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 6 Dec 2025

Watford 3–2 Norwich City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.3 – 1.9
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Watford favourites at 67%.

Watford won although Norwich City made the better chances (1.9 xG to 1.3): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Oscar Schwartau, 64.8 in 86′.

Well above their usual level: Oscar Schwartau +25.8, Luca Kjerrumgaard +20.3, Tom Ince +14.2.

Well below it: Kévin Keben Biakolo −16.5, Jeremy Ngakia −15.2, Imrân Louza −13.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Watford

1 Dec 2025L 1–2at Birmingham City Championship
25 Nov 2025D 1–1v Preston North End Championship
22 Nov 2025W 3–2at Derby County Championship
7 Nov 2025D 1–1v Bristol City Championship
4 Nov 2025D 1–1at Ipswich Town Championship

Norwich City

29 Nov 2025W 3–1v Queens Park Rangers Championship
25 Nov 2025D 1–1v Oxford United Championship
22 Nov 2025L 1–4at Birmingham City Championship
8 Nov 2025L 1–2v Leicester City Championship
5 Nov 2025D 1–1at Sheffield Wednesday Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Watford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward74200.2161.6+20.3
Tom Ince Midfielder52100.2853.9+14.2
Nathan Baxter Goalkeeper9000–44.4−1.7
Matthew Pollock Defender90000.1241.3−4.4
Imrân Louza Midfielder9000–40.9−13.3
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder900–36.1–
Max Alleyne Defender4500–33.3−9.5
Edo Kayembe Midfielder90000.3631.3−11.6
Mamadou Doumbia Forward86000.1731.3−12.5
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder3800–31.0–
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder900–30.1–
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender4500–27.2−16.5
Marc Bola Defender90010.0226.2−12.5
Vivaldo Forward16000.0625.8–
Jeremy Ngakia Defender9001–25.4−15.2
Othmane Maamma Midfielder86000.0624.4−11.1

Norwich City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Oscar Schwartau Midfielder86110.6064.8+25.8
Ruairi McConville Defender9000–51.9+7.5
Josh Sargent Forward90100.4049.2+7.1
Harry Darling Defender9000–47.2+5.5
Emiliano Marcondes Midfielder62010.0645.9+4.9
Jovon Makama Forward28000.5444.2–
Jacob Wright Midfielder28000.1443.9–
Pelle Mattsson Midfielder90000.0442.4+0.2
Kenny McLean Midfielder9000–42.1−4.5
Tony Springett Forward5400–40.3–
Forson Amankwah Midfielder62000.0940.0–
Jakov Medić Defender3600–38.5–
Vladan Kovačević Goalkeeper9000–35.8−12.9
Kellen Fisher Defender9000–35.2−0.7
Mathias Kvistgaarden Forward900–33.0–