Canada 1–0 Guatemala
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 0.5
- Actual xG
- 1.0 – 0.3
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Canada favourites at 64%.
Canada won and made the better chances: 1.0 xG to 0.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Óscar Santis, 95.4 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Mathieu Choinière +28.8, Jayden Nelson +18.7, Jacen Russell Rowe +16.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Canada
| 19 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | at Venezuela |
| 14 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | v Ecuador |
| 15 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | v Colombia |
| 10 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | v Australia |
| 9 Sep 2025 | W 1–0 | at Wales |
Guatemala
No earlier result in Footybot's data.
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Canada
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Henry | 26 | 75.6 | – |
| Mathieu Choinière | 90 | 70.2 | +28.8 |
| James Pantemis | 81 | 58.6 | +8.1 |
| Jacen Russell Rowe | 90 | 56.9 | +16.3 |
| Jayden Nelson | 81 | 56.5 | +18.7 |
| Kamal Miller | 90 | 49.6 | +9.2 |
| Luka Gavran | 9 | 48.9 | – |
| Ralph Priso | 70 | 45.5 | +2.1 |
| Noah Abatneh | 20 | 44.4 | – |
| Tiago Coimbra | 26 | 44.3 | – |
| Jonathan Osorio | 64 | 43.3 | −1.5 |
| Matteo de Brienne | 8 | 41.6 | – |
| Richie Laryea | 82 | 40.0 | −5.8 |
| Zorhan Bassong | 70 | 39.2 | −5.0 |
| Rayan Elloumi | 64 | 38.1 | −2.8 |
| Shola Jimoh | 64 | 36.5 | – |
| Jeevan Badwal | 26 | 36.4 | – |
| Marius Aiyenero | 9 | 32.9 | – |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | 20 | 31.4 | – |
Guatemala
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Santis | 45 | 95.4 | – |
| José Ardón | 90 | 65.8 | – |
| Kenderson Navarro | 90 | 63.3 | – |
| Matthew Evans | 45 | 62.1 | – |
| Damián Rivera | 45 | 61.4 | – |
| José Pinto | 90 | 57.0 | – |
| Oscar Castellanos | 90 | 54.3 | – |
| Nicolás Samayoa | 90 | 51.9 | – |
| José Morales | 90 | 49.1 | – |
| Jefry Bantes | 19 | 46.6 | – |
| Kevin Ramirez | 45 | 46.1 | – |
| Darwin Lom | 71 | 44.1 | – |
| Marvin Ávila Jr. | 45 | 43.5 | – |
| José Rosales | 45 | 42.6 | – |
| Jonathan Franco | 45 | 41.2 | – |
| Rudy Muñoz | 45 | 37.9 | – |