Canada 2–2 Iceland
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.1 – 0.6
- Actual xG
- 2.4 – 0.5
- Goals
- 2 – 2
Footybot made Canada favourites at 73%.
Canada deserved more from the draw, creating 2.4 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Orri Óskarsson, 77.5 in 68′.
Well above their usual level: Mikael Ellertsson +22.0, Orri Óskarsson +21.5, Jonathan David +17.4.
Well below it: Niko Sigur −13.7, Nathan-Dylan Saliba −11.1, Elías Ólafsson −10.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Canada
| 18 Jan 2026 | W 1–0 | v Guatemala |
| 19 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | at Venezuela |
| 14 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | v Ecuador |
| 15 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | v Colombia |
| 10 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | v Australia |
Iceland
| 26 Feb 2026 | L 0–4 | at Mexico |
| 16 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Ukraine |
| 13 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | at Azerbaijan |
| 13 Oct 2025 | D 2–2 | v France |
| 10 Oct 2025 | L 3–5 | v Ukraine |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Canada
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Osorio | 26 | 84.2 | – |
| Jonathan David | 87 | 64.9 | +17.4 |
| Liam Millar | 3 | 63.6 | – |
| Kamal Miller | 75 | 55.3 | +14.8 |
| Joel Waterman | 90 | 52.6 | +10.6 |
| Mathieu Choinière | 64 | 45.9 | −0.2 |
| Ali Ahmed | 63 | 42.6 | +3.9 |
| Daniel Jebbison | 26 | 41.2 | – |
| Cyle Larin | 64 | 36.7 | −8.2 |
| Dayne St. Clair | 90 | 36.3 | −8.7 |
| Marcelo Flores | 27 | 36.1 | – |
| Niko Sigur | 90 | 34.7 | −13.7 |
| Richie Laryea | 90 | 34.7 | −3.5 |
| Tajon Buchanan | 80 | 33.2 | −10.3 |
| Nathan-Dylan Saliba | 86 | 31.1 | −11.1 |
| Ralph Priso | 8 | 22.8 | – |
| Derek Cornelius | 15 | 20.3 | – |
Iceland
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orri Óskarsson | 68 | 77.5 | +21.5 |
| Mikael Ellertsson | 90 | 63.0 | +22.0 |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 90 | 57.1 | +6.4 |
| Victor Pálsson | 90 | 53.7 | +5.9 |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 76 | 53.2 | +3.9 |
| Sverrir Ingason | 90 | 52.5 | +4.2 |
| Hörður Magnússon | 90 | 51.9 | – |
| Stefán Teitur Þórðarson | 22 | 50.9 | – |
| Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | 76 | 47.9 | +5.4 |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | 90 | 47.6 | +5.2 |
| Kristall Máni Ingason | 22 | 47.6 | – |
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | 14 | 46.8 | – |
| Elías Ólafsson | 90 | 45.5 | −10.5 |
| Kristian Hlynsson | 68 | 42.5 | −3.2 |
| Mikael Anderson | 14 | 42.3 | – |