Netherlands 1–1 Ecuador
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 0.6
- Actual xG
- 0.2 – 2.0
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Netherlands favourites at 57%.
Ecuador deserved more from the draw, creating 2.0 xG to 0.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joel Ordóñez, 80.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Joel Ordóñez +30.3, Enner Valencia +29.7, Pedro Vite +17.1.
Well below it: Cody Gakpo −14.2, Xavi Simons −12.9, Micky van de Ven −11.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Netherlands
| 27 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | v Norway |
| 17 Nov 2025 | W 4–0 | v Lithuania |
| 14 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Poland |
| 12 Oct 2025 | W 4–0 | v Finland |
| 9 Oct 2025 | W 4–0 | at Malta |
Ecuador
| 27 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Morocco |
| 19 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v New Zealand |
| 14 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Canada |
| 15 Oct 2025 | D 1–1 | at Mexico |
| 11 Oct 2025 | D 1–1 | at USA |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Netherlands
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quinten Timber | 77 | 54.4 | +8.3 |
| Xavi Simons | 77 | 53.5 | −12.9 |
| Donyell Malen | 17 | 51.3 | – |
| Wout Weghorst | 13 | 50.6 | – |
| Mark Flekken | 90 | 49.9 | −3.6 |
| Brian Brobbey | 77 | 49.3 | +1.6 |
| Stefan de Vrij | 90 | 45.5 | −8.0 |
| Nathan Aké | 77 | 45.3 | −7.8 |
| Jorrel Hato | 13 | 44.6 | – |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 31 | 43.5 | – |
| Virgil van Dijk | 45 | 43.4 | −10.1 |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | 73 | 41.3 | −1.1 |
| Jerdy Schouten | 90 | 40.5 | −9.0 |
| Luciano Valente | 13 | 38.3 | – |
| Cody Gakpo | 45 | 37.9 | −14.2 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 13 | 35.8 | – |
| Micky van de Ven | 45 | 35.6 | −11.8 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 14 | 31.9 | – |
| Denzel Dumfries | 12 | 0.0 | – |
Ecuador
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ángelo Preciado | 16 | 100.0 | – |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Jordy Caicedo | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Jordy Alcivar | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Joel Ordóñez | 90 | 80.0 | +30.3 |
| Enner Valencia | 89 | 72.7 | +29.7 |
| John Yeboah | 89 | 70.8 | +11.8 |
| Moisés Caicedo | 90 | 69.3 | +15.0 |
| Pedro Vite | 89 | 67.3 | +17.1 |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 66.5 | +9.8 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 90 | 60.6 | +6.1 |
| Pervis Estupiñán | 90 | 57.1 | +7.6 |
| Félix Torres | 74 | 53.9 | +1.7 |
| Anthony Valencia | 45 | 53.6 | +5.7 |
| Gonzalo Valle | 59 | 50.1 | −9.5 |
| Alan Franco | 45 | 37.4 | −11.2 |
| David Cabezas | 31 | 33.7 | – |