Netherlands 2–1 Norway
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Xavi Simons scored 91.8
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.0 – 1.5
- Actual xG
- 2.0 – 0.7
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Netherlands favourites at 51%.
Netherlands won and made the better chances: 2.0 xG to 0.7.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Julian Ryerson, 90.2 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Julian Ryerson +30.6, David Møller Wolfe +30.4, Cody Gakpo +25.0.
Well below it: Patrick Berg −12.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Netherlands
| 17 Nov 2025 | W 4–0 | v Lithuania |
| 14 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Poland |
| 12 Oct 2025 | W 4–0 | v Finland |
| 9 Oct 2025 | W 4–0 | at Malta |
| 7 Sep 2025 | W 3–2 | at Lithuania |
Norway
| 16 Nov 2025 | W 4–1 | at Italy |
| 13 Nov 2025 | W 4–1 | v Estonia |
| 14 Oct 2025 | D 1–1 | v New Zealand |
| 11 Oct 2025 | W 5–0 | v Israel |
| 9 Sep 2025 | W 11–1 | v Moldova |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Netherlands
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavi Simons | 20 | 91.8 | – |
| Stefan de Vrij | 10 | 86.7 | – |
| Cody Gakpo | 82 | 75.8 | +25.0 |
| Jerdy Schouten | 8 | 70.1 | – |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 90 | 62.8 | +12.4 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 90 | 62.7 | +15.0 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 83 | 58.9 | +2.6 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 90 | 58.3 | +3.0 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 82 | 57.6 | +9.4 |
| Brian Brobbey | 21 | 56.9 | – |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 70 | 55.6 | +4.6 |
| Donyell Malen | 69 | 54.7 | +4.9 |
| Micky van de Ven | 90 | 49.9 | +2.4 |
| Bart Verbruggen | 90 | 48.3 | −5.5 |
| Kees Smit | 70 | 42.8 | −6.2 |
| Quinten Timber | 20 | 42.4 | – |
| Wout Weghorst | 8 | 40.9 | – |
Norway
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Ryerson | 90 | 90.2 | +30.6 |
| Andreas Schjelderup | 64 | 75.8 | +17.5 |
| David Møller Wolfe | 64 | 69.7 | +30.4 |
| Jens Petter Hauge | 26 | 67.3 | – |
| Leo Østigård | 26 | 61.3 | – |
| Oscar Bobb | 64 | 56.2 | +10.1 |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | 90 | 55.9 | +9.9 |
| Sander Berge | 90 | 53.7 | +7.5 |
| Torbjørn Heggem | 78 | 53.1 | +3.0 |
| Kristoffer Ajer | 90 | 52.9 | +3.6 |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | 26 | 50.3 | – |
| Felix Horn Myhre | 26 | 49.6 | – |
| Ørjan Nyland | 90 | 47.3 | −3.1 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 64 | 46.6 | −5.4 |
| Patrick Berg | 64 | 45.0 | −12.9 |
| Antonio Nusa | 26 | 42.2 | – |
| Fredrik André Bjørkan | 12 | 35.9 | – |