Croatia 1–3 Brazil
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Igor Thiago scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 1.7
- Goals
- 1 – 3
Footybot made Croatia favourites at 48%.
Brazil won and made the better chances: 1.7 xG to 1.1.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luka Vušković, 74.1 in 82′.
Well above their usual level: Luka Modrić +18.4, Luka Vušković +12.4, Danilo Santos +10.0.
Well below it: Duje Ćaleta-Car −17.2, Dominik Livaković −10.7, João Pedro −8.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Croatia
| 26 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | at Colombia |
| 17 Nov 2025 | W 3–2 | at Montenegro |
| 14 Nov 2025 | W 3–1 | v Faroe Islands |
| 12 Oct 2025 | W 3–0 | v Gibraltar |
| 9 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | at Czechia |
Brazil
| 26 Mar 2026 | L 1–2 | v France |
| 18 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | v Tunisia |
| 15 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Senegal |
| 14 Oct 2025 | L 2–3 | at Japan |
| 10 Oct 2025 | W 5–0 | at South Korea |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Croatia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Fruk | 8 | 100.0 | – |
| Lovro Majer | 20 | 81.3 | – |
| Marin Pongračić | 30 | 74.6 | – |
| Ivan Smolčić | 8 | 74.4 | – |
| Luka Vušković | 82 | 74.1 | +12.4 |
| Luka Modrić | 60 | 71.6 | +18.4 |
| Ivan Perišić | 69 | 63.7 | +7.4 |
| Martin Baturina | 70 | 62.5 | −3.1 |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 60.7 | +6.4 |
| Petar Sučić | 82 | 58.2 | +1.0 |
| Andrej Kramarić | 60 | 54.3 | −0.9 |
| Nikola Moro | 30 | 51.5 | – |
| Petar Musa | 30 | 50.9 | – |
| Ante Budimir | 60 | 47.8 | −5.9 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 46.9 | −6.5 |
| Marco Pašalić | 21 | 46.6 | – |
| Mario Pašalić | 30 | 42.3 | – |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | 60 | 40.5 | −17.2 |
| Dominik Livaković | 90 | 40.1 | −10.7 |
Brazil
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Thiago | 23 | 100.0 | – |
| Rayan | 14 | 97.3 | – |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 23 | 83.6 | – |
| Endrick | 14 | 74.7 | – |
| Vinícius Júnior | 67 | 70.5 | +4.6 |
| Danilo Santos | 76 | 65.8 | +10.0 |
| Fabinho | 29 | 60.2 | – |
| Luiz Henrique | 76 | 59.9 | +1.4 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 57.5 | +1.2 |
| Casemiro | 61 | 55.7 | −0.3 |
| Léo Pereira | 90 | 54.7 | −2.0 |
| Matheus Cunha | 76 | 52.8 | +4.2 |
| Douglas Santos | 76 | 50.2 | +4.0 |
| João Pedro | 67 | 49.4 | −8.9 |
| Bento | 90 | 47.8 | −4.7 |
| Andrey Santos | 14 | 46.8 | – |
| Roger Ibañez | 61 | 42.5 | −2.6 |
| Danilo | 29 | 40.8 | – |
| Kaiki | 14 | 31.9 | – |