Mexico 1–1 Belgium
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 1.7
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Belgium favourites at 46%.
Mexico deserved more from the draw, creating 1.1 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jorge Sánchez, 70.8 in 69′.
Well above their usual level: Jorge Sánchez +19.8, Johan Vásquez +13.0, Jesús Gallardo +11.5.
Well below it: Kevin De Bruyne −24.8, Loïs Openda −9.1.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Mexico
| 29 Mar 2026 | D 0–0 | v Portugal |
| 26 Feb 2026 | W 4–0 | v Iceland |
| 25 Jan 2026 | W 1–0 | at Bolivia |
| 23 Jan 2026 | W 1–0 | at Panama |
| 19 Nov 2025 | L 1–2 | v Paraguay |
Belgium
| 28 Mar 2026 | W 5–2 | at USA |
| 18 Nov 2025 | W 7–0 | v Liechtenstein |
| 15 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Kazakhstan |
| 13 Oct 2025 | W 4–2 | at Wales |
| 10 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | v North Macedonia |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Mexico
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Sánchez | 69 | 70.8 | +19.8 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 62.7 | +11.5 |
| Johan Vásquez | 90 | 62.0 | +13.0 |
| Julián Quiñones | 69 | 58.1 | +7.8 |
| Brian Gutiérrez | 84 | 54.9 | +6.4 |
| Israel Reyes | 21 | 54.8 | – |
| Orbelín Pineda | 69 | 53.6 | +9.2 |
| Erick Sánchez | 11 | 49.5 | – |
| Raúl Jiménez | 68 | 47.1 | −7.0 |
| Raúl Rangel | 90 | 46.8 | −7.0 |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | 69 | 44.7 | −3.5 |
| Erik Lira | 90 | 42.3 | −6.8 |
| Roberto Alvarado | 21 | 41.5 | – |
| César Montes | 90 | 39.5 | −6.2 |
| Armando González | 22 | 38.6 | – |
| Obed Vargas | 21 | 36.9 | – |
| Alexis Vega | 21 | 34.1 | – |
Belgium
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Theate | 18 | 91.1 | – |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 18 | 82.8 | – |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 27 | 79.1 | – |
| Amadou Onana | 27 | 55.5 | – |
| Koni De Winter | 72 | 54.3 | +4.8 |
| Youri Tielemans | 63 | 54.0 | −5.1 |
| Thomas Meunier | 27 | 53.6 | – |
| Jérémy Doku | 27 | 52.8 | – |
| Dodi Lukebakio | 72 | 52.6 | −5.6 |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 72 | 52.5 | +2.0 |
| Mika Godts | 63 | 49.4 | −4.2 |
| Nicolas Raskin | 27 | 48.6 | – |
| Matz Sels | 90 | 47.9 | −3.0 |
| Axel Witsel | 63 | 47.4 | −3.1 |
| Nathan Ngoy | 72 | 47.1 | −4.4 |
| Lucas Stassin | 18 | 46.2 | – |
| Timothy Castagne | 63 | 46.0 | −0.5 |
| Joaquin Seys | 18 | 42.1 | – |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 72 | 40.7 | −24.8 |
| Loïs Openda | 63 | 38.9 | −9.1 |
| Zeno Debast | 18 | 37.6 | – |