Coppa Italia 25/26, Semifinals · 22 Apr 2026

Atalanta 1–1 Lazio

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 10.3 xG · Standout: Mario Pašalić scored 88.6 · Breakout watch: Nicola Zalewski

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.8 – 0.9
Actual xG: 5.9 – 4.4
Goals: 1 – 1

Footybot made Atalanta favourites at 59%.

Atalanta deserved more from the draw, creating 5.9 xG to 4.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mario Pašalić, 88.6 in 49′.

Well above their usual level: Mario Pašalić +33.1, Lorenzo Bernasconi +27.4, Manuel Lazzari +15.2.

Well below it: Patric −13.9, Charles De Ketelaere −13.2, Nicola Zalewski −12.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Atalanta

18 Apr 2026	D 1–1	at AS Roma Serie A
11 Apr 2026	L 0–1	v Juventus Serie A
6 Apr 2026	W 3–0	at Lecce Serie A
22 Mar 2026	W 1–0	v Hellas Verona Serie A
18 Mar 2026	L 1–4	at FC Bayern München Champions League

Lazio

18 Apr 2026	W 2–0	at SSC Napoli Serie A
13 Apr 2026	L 0–1	at Fiorentina Serie A
4 Apr 2026	D 1–1	v Parma Serie A
22 Mar 2026	W 2–0	at Bologna Serie A
15 Mar 2026	W 1–0	v AC Milan Serie A

Head to head

4 Mar 2026	Lazio 2–2 Atalanta Coppa Italia
14 Feb 2026	Lazio 0–2 Atalanta Serie A
19 Oct 2025	Atalanta 0–0 Lazio Serie A

Atalanta

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mario Pašalić Midfielder	49	1	0	1.05	88.6	+33.1
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder	56	0	0	–	78.4	+27.4
Berat Djimsiti Defender	120	0	0	0.11	62.0	+10.9
Gianluca Scamacca Forward	31	0	0	0.92	58.6	–
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder	120	0	0	1.01	55.8	+3.2
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder	64	0	0	0.10	52.3	+7.0
Odilon Kossounou Defender	49	0	0	–	48.6	−0.3
Giacomo Raspadori Forward	49	0	0	0.82	47.8	−4.7
Nikola Krstović Forward	89	0	1	0.35	46.8	−5.8
Honest Ahanor Defender	26	0	0	–	46.0	–
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	44.1	−2.4
Marten de Roon Midfielder	71	0	0	0.02	43.0	−4.3
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	120	0	0	0.05	42.8	−13.2
Giorgio Scalvini Defender	94	0	0	0.19	41.9	−10.1
Éderson Midfielder	120	0	0	0.44	39.9	−12.0
Sead Kolašinac Defender	71	0	0	–	39.8	−4.6
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder	71	0	0	0.87	38.1	−12.4

Lazio

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	58.4	+6.3
Danilo Cataldi Midfielder	36	0	0	0.76	55.1	–
Gustav Isaksen Forward	54	0	0	0.76	55.1	+8.4
Manuel Lazzari Defender	53	0	0	–	54.5	+15.2
Mattia Zaccagni Forward	103	0	1	0.21	51.9	+4.4
Alessio Romagnoli Defender	120	1	0	0.53	48.6	−4.1
Mario Gila Defender	77	0	0	–	48.3	−2.7
Toma Bašić Midfielder	77	0	0	0.06	47.2	−1.9
Tijjani Noslin Forward	120	0	0	0.48	45.5	−4.0
Matteo Cancellieri Forward	66	0	0	0.03	43.3	−2.0
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder	120	0	0	0.76	42.7	−4.3
Adam Marušić Defender	67	0	0	–	39.3	−3.0
Nuno Tavares Defender	120	0	0	0.78	38.4	−7.0
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	43	0	0	–	36.9	–
Patric Defender	84	0	0	–	34.1	−13.9
Oliver Provstgaard Defender	43	0	0	–	33.7	–
Pedro Forward	17	0	0	–	32.1	–