Derby County 2–0 Swansea City
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 0.8 – 1.0
- Goals
- 2 – 0
Footybot made Derby County favourites at 45%.
Derby County won a close one on the chances: 0.8 xG to 1.0.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Josh Vickers, 57.2 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Gonçalo Franco +18.4, Ronald +11.2, Ben Cabango +9.4.
Well below it: Lawrence Vigouroux −13.5, Cameron Burgess −9.7, Matt Clarke −8.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Derby County
| 7 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | v Ipswich Town |
| 30 Jan 2026 | W 5–0 | at Bristol City |
| 23 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | v West Bromwich Albion |
| 20 Jan 2026 | W 2–1 | at Charlton Athletic |
| 17 Jan 2026 | W 1–0 | at Preston North End |
Swansea City
| 8 Feb 2026 | W 4–0 | v Sheffield Wednesday |
| 31 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | at Watford |
| 24 Jan 2026 | L 1–2 | at Hull City |
| 20 Jan 2026 | W 3–1 | v Blackburn Rovers |
| 17 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | v Birmingham City |
Head to head
| 25 Nov 2025 | Swansea City 1–2 Derby County |
Derby County
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Morris | 1 | 98.0 | – |
| Josh Vickers | 90 | 57.2 | +4.1 |
| Rhian Brewster | 72 | 46.8 | +3.9 |
| Patrick Agyemang | 88 | 44.9 | +2.5 |
| Liam Thompson | 18 | 41.3 | – |
| Dion Sanderson | 90 | 38.0 | −6.6 |
| Joe Ward | 90 | 37.0 | −5.0 |
| David Ozoh | 90 | 36.4 | −4.8 |
| Callum Elder | 90 | 35.6 | −1.4 |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | 89 | 35.3 | −7.2 |
| Sammie Szmodics | 88 | 32.0 | −6.8 |
| Matt Clarke | 90 | 31.3 | −8.5 |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | 9 | 31.0 | – |
| Oscar Fraulo | 72 | 30.2 | – |
| Jaydon Banel | 9 | 28.4 | – |
| Bobby Clark | 18 | 0.9 | – |
Swansea City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Franco | 77 | 56.8 | +18.4 |
| Ben Cabango | 90 | 51.2 | +9.4 |
| Melker Widell | 13 | 48.9 | – |
| Leo Walta | 25 | 47.6 | – |
| Liam Cullen | 65 | 46.6 | +3.0 |
| Marko Stamenić | 85 | 46.4 | +4.2 |
| Ronald | 77 | 44.0 | +11.2 |
| Žan Vipotnik | 90 | 43.7 | −0.4 |
| Lawrence Vigouroux | 90 | 43.3 | −13.5 |
| Malick Yalcouyé | 13 | 42.3 | – |
| Gustavo Nunes | 25 | 42.1 | – |
| Jay Fulton | 12 | 41.9 | – |
| Ji-sung Eom | 65 | 41.1 | −1.0 |
| Ethan Galbraith | 90 | 37.7 | +4.1 |
| Josh Tymon | 90 | 37.4 | +1.0 |
| Cameron Burgess | 90 | 34.7 | −9.7 |