Championship 25/26 · 17 Jan 2026

Swansea City 1–1 Birmingham City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Swansea City 35%, the draw 31%, Birmingham City 34%.

Swansea City deserved more from the draw, creating 1.6 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christoph Klarer, 55.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Žan Vipotnik +8.8.

Well below it: Cameron Burgess −12.5, Ethan Galbraith −10.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Millwall Championship
1 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
29 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Oxford United Championship
26 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Coventry City Championship
19 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Wrexham Championship

4 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Coventry City Championship
1 Jan 2026	L 0–3	at Watford Championship
29 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Southampton Championship
26 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Derby County Championship
20 Dec 2025	L 0–3	at Sheffield United Championship

20 Sep 2025	Birmingham City 1–0 Swansea City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Žan Vipotnik Forward	68	1	0	0.33	50.5	+8.8
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.8	−4.5
Ben Cabango Defender	90	0	0	0.18	41.0	−3.1
Gonçalo Franco Midfielder	83	0	1	0.16	40.0	+1.6
Jay Fulton Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	38.7	−1.1
Ronald Midfielder	90	0	0	0.29	38.5	+6.3
Melker Widell Midfielder	68	0	0	–	38.1	+1.5
Ji-sung Eom Midfielder	77	0	0	0.47	36.9	−3.8
Liam Cullen Forward	22	0	0	0.07	36.2	–
Josh Tymon Defender	90	0	0	0.02	35.2	−0.5
Zeidane Inoussa Forward	13	0	0	–	33.9	–
Malick Yalcouyé Midfielder	22	0	0	–	33.6	–
Cameron Burgess Defender	90	0	0	–	32.1	−12.5
Ethan Galbraith Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	29.4	−10.6
Joel Ward Defender	12	0	0	–	6.9	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	–	55.5	+6.3
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.0	+4.4
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	90	1	0.51	42.8	+5.3
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	–	40.1	−3.1
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0	0.02	38.9	−1.7
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	0	–	38.7	+3.0
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	90	0	–	37.5	−2.8
Marvin Ducksch Forward	85	0	0.17	35.8	−6.2
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	56	0	0.21	35.5	−2.4
Lewis Koumas Forward	90	0	0.04	34.9	−0.4
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	34	0	0.06	29.1	–
Willum Thor Willumsson Midfielder	10	0	–	25.0	–
Kai Wagner Defender	90	0	–	13.5	–