Championship 25/26 · 26 Dec 2025

Birmingham City 1–1 Derby County

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 71%.

Birmingham City deserved more from the draw, creating 3.2 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jacob Widell Zetterström, 67.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jacob Widell Zetterström +21.4.

Well below it: Lewis Koumas −15.0, Jay Stansfield −14.4, Christoph Klarer −8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Dec 2025	L 0–3	at Sheffield United Championship
13 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Charlton Athletic Championship
9 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
6 Dec 2025	L 1–3	at Southampton Championship
1 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Watford Championship

20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Portsmouth Championship
15 Dec 2025	W 3–0	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
10 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Millwall Championship
6 Dec 2025	L 1–3	v Leicester City Championship
29 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Middlesbrough Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Jack Robinson Defender	90	1	1.04	53.7	+4.8
Alfons Sampsted Defender	32	0	–	44.3	–
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	–	43.5	−8.1
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0.22	41.2	−8.1
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0	0.21	37.7	−8.0
Marc Leonard Midfielder	78	0	–	36.6	−3.5
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	32	0	0.09	36.6	–
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	0	0.03	34.0	−5.2
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	90	0	0.28	33.7	−7.7
Marvin Ducksch Forward	58	0	0.06	33.3	−7.8
Willum Thor Willumsson Midfielder	12	0	–	30.9	–
Lyndon Dykes Forward	12	0	0.03	24.2	–
Lewis Koumas Forward	63	0	–	22.0	−15.0
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	90	0	0.34	21.0	−14.4
Eiran Cashin Defender	58	0	–	19.7	–
Demarai Gray Midfielder	15	0	0.93	14.5	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Craig Forsyth Defender	1	0	0	–	83.9	–
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	67.6	+21.4
Patrick Agyemang Forward	85	1	0	0.59	46.7	+7.1
Danny Batth Defender	90	0	0	–	46.4	−0.3
Curtis Nelson Defender	45	0	0	–	42.1	–
Liam Thompson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	40.4	+3.2
Rhian Brewster Forward	45	0	1	–	38.6	−2.8
Sondre Langås Defender	89	0	0	0.13	36.9	−2.2
Callum Elder Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	36.8	+4.5
Ebou Adams Midfielder	45	0	0	–	36.2	−6.9
Kayden Jackson Forward	15	0	0	–	33.5	–
Joe Ward Midfielder	39	0	0	–	33.3	–
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder	45	0	0	–	32.4	−4.6
Bobby Clark Midfielder	90	0	0	–	31.8	−0.2
Matt Clarke Defender	90	0	0	–	27.8	−7.2