FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 29 Nov 2025

Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby County

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 0.6
Actual xG
1.2 – 0.3
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Middlesbrough favourites at 57%.

Middlesbrough won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Callum Elder, 50.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Callum Elder +14.2, Matt Targett +8.3.

Well below it: Callum Brittain −26.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Middlesbrough

25 Nov 2025L 2–4v Coventry City Championship
22 Nov 2025D 1–1at Oxford United Championship
8 Nov 2025W 2–1v Birmingham City Championship
4 Nov 2025D 1–1at Leicester City Championship
1 Nov 2025L 0–3at Watford Championship

Derby County

25 Nov 2025W 2–1at Swansea City Championship
22 Nov 2025L 2–3v Watford Championship
8 Nov 2025W 2–1at Blackburn Rovers Championship
4 Nov 2025W 2–1v Hull City Championship
1 Nov 2025W 3–1at Sheffield United Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Middlesbrough

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Matt Targett Defender90100.2049.5+8.3
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper9000–48.4+2.3
Riley McGree Midfielder36000.0245.9–
Tommy Conway Forward7100–41.6+0.3
Delano Burgzorg Forward71000.4140.7−2.0
Alan Browne Midfielder5400–39.4−5.4
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder89100.2738.3−1.3
Alex Bangura Defender9000–37.5–
Mamadou Kaly Sene Forward1900–37.4–
David Strelec Forward36000.1734.6–
Archie Baptiste Defender800–18.0–
Callum Brittain Defender90000.1416.3−26.2

Derby County

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Callum Elder Midfielder9000–50.3+14.2
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper9000–45.1−7.5
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward80010.1344.5–
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder8800–43.0+3.4
Sondre Langås Defender88000.0341.6+3.0
Matt Clarke Defender90000.1340.4−2.5
Andreas Weimann Forward900–38.1–
Liam Thompson Midfielder900–30.5–
Ryan Nyambe Defender1000–22.5–