Championship 25/26 · 10 Dec 2025

Derby County 1–1 Millwall

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Derby County 38%, the draw 30%, Millwall 33%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.2 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Caleb Taylor, 68.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Caleb Taylor +21.1, Max Crocombe +13.4.

Well below it: Joe Ward −21.9, Femi Azeez −20.3, Matt Clarke −13.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

6 Dec 2025	L 1–3	v Leicester City Championship
29 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Middlesbrough Championship
25 Nov 2025	W 2–1	at Swansea City Championship
22 Nov 2025	L 2–3	v Watford Championship
8 Nov 2025	W 2–1	at Blackburn Rovers Championship

6 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Bristol City Championship
29 Nov 2025	W 3–2	v Southampton Championship
26 Nov 2025	W 1–0	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
22 Nov 2025	L 1–3	at Portsmouth Championship
8 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Preston North End Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper	90	–	52.6	+4.4
Rhian Brewster Forward	23	0.01	45.6	–
Ebou Adams Midfielder	11	–	44.3	–
Sondre Langås Defender	85	0.09	40.3	+0.1
Liam Thompson Midfielder	85	–	40.0	+2.8
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward	23	0.10	37.7	–
Dion Sanderson Defender	90	0.15	37.4	−7.2
Patrick Agyemang Forward	90	0.73	36.6	−2.9
Callum Elder Midfielder	85	0.05	36.3	+1.0
Andreas Weimann Forward	67	–	33.6	−4.4
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder	67	–	31.5	−7.0
Kayden Jackson Forward	11	–	28.9	–
Corey Blackett-Taylor Midfielder	11	–	26.9	–
Matt Clarke Defender	90	–	26.8	−13.0
Bobby Clark Midfielder	90	0.08	26.6	−6.3
Joe Ward Midfielder	90	–	19.5	−21.9

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Caleb Taylor Defender	90	–	68.2	+21.1
Max Crocombe Goalkeeper	90	–	63.1	+13.4
Macaulay Langstaff Forward	1	–	60.9	–
Jake Cooper Defender	90	0.16	56.0	+6.8
Alfie Doughty Midfielder	89	–	40.9	−5.5
Thierno Ballo Midfielder	89	0.18	39.2	+1.4
Raees Bangura-Williams Midfielder	68	0.01	36.9	–
Mihailo Ivanović Forward	90	0.18	36.8	−5.3
Camiel Neghli Midfielder	90	–	35.9	+0.3
Tristan Crama Defender	90	0.31	34.3	−6.4
Daniel Kelly Midfielder	90	–	32.6	–
Aidomo Emakhu Forward	22	–	30.4	–
Femi Azeez Midfielder	89	0.08	24.5	−20.3
Danny McNamara Defender	1	–	0.0	–
Joe Bryan Defender	1	–	0.0	–