Championship 25/26 · 2 Mar 2026

Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 50%.

Middlesbrough won a close one on the chances: 1.0 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Solomon Brynn, 59.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: David Strelec +14.6, Kai Wagner +14.3, Solomon Brynn +9.0.

Well below it: James Beadle −23.1, Adilson Malanda −14.4, Jonathan Panzo −10.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Feb 2026	L 0–3	at Millwall Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Norwich City Championship
10 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
7 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Leicester City Championship
31 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Oxford United Championship

24 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Leicester City Championship
21 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Oxford United Championship
16 Feb 2026	L 1–3	at Coventry City Championship
9 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Sheffield United Championship
31 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Norwich City Championship

8 Nov 2025	Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kai Wagner Defender	90	0	0	0.05	42.3	+14.3
Marvin Ducksch Forward	90	1	0	0.29	41.3	+0.3
Jonathan Panzo Defender	84	0	0	–	38.9	−10.9
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	65	0	1	–	37.9	+7.6
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	0.07	37.8	−7.3
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	18	0	0	–	35.3	–
Carlos Vicente Midfielder	26	0	0	–	33.5	–
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	0	0	–	32.1	+0.0
August Priske Forward	25	0	0	–	31.7	–
Demarai Gray Midfielder	72	0	0	0.13	31.6	−6.8
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	30.1	−7.1
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	27.8	−23.1
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	64	0	0	0.07	26.4	−8.1
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	72	0	0	–	25.7	−10.5
Ibrahim Osman Midfielder	18	0	0	–	18.6	–
Ethan Laird Defender	12	0	0	–	12.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	59.5	+9.0
David Strelec Forward	61	1	0	0.14	54.4	+14.6
Dael Fry Defender	90	0	0	–	51.1	+2.8
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	0	1	0.06	44.5	+0.1
Matt Targett Defender	90	2	0	0.65	40.9	+7.8
Riley McGree Midfielder	74	0	0	–	39.7	−5.1
Hayden Hackney Midfielder	89	0	1	0.05	35.6	−7.6
Tommy Conway Forward	75	0	0	0.06	35.4	−9.1
Luke Ayling Defender	90	0	1	–	35.1	−1.7
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0	0	–	33.2	+2.1
Adilson Malanda Defender	90	0	0	0.03	27.5	−14.4
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	29	0	0	–	22.4	–
Alan Browne Midfielder	16	0	0	–	21.7	–
Jeremy Sarmiento Midfielder	15	0	0	–	20.0	–
Alexander Gilbert Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–