Bundesliga 25/26 · 7 Mar 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 3.9 xG · Standout: William Bøving scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Jeff Chabot

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.7 – 1.5
Actual xG: 2.9 – 1.0
Goals: 2 – 2

Footybot made 1. FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 44%.

1. FSV Mainz 05 deserved more from the draw, creating 2.9 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: William Bøving, 100.0 in 1′.

1. FSV Mainz 05

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
William Bøving Forward	1	0	0	–	100.0
Paul Nebel Midfielder	89	0	0	0.25	68.1
Nelson Weiper Forward	11	0	0	0.13	68.0
Sheraldo Becker Forward	74	0	0	0.25	59.1
Danny da Costa Defender	89	1	1	0.68	55.6
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder	89	1	0	0.61	49.8
Phillip Tietz Forward	90	0	0	0.54	48.5
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.7
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder	90	0	0	0.36	42.7
Dominik Kohr Defender	90	0	0	–	39.7
Kaishu Sano Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	39.1
Stefan Posch Defender	90	0	0	–	38.4
Silas Midfielder	16	0	0	–	37.6
Silvan Widmer Midfielder	85	0	0	–	36.8
Nikolas Veratschnig Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0
Armindo Sieb Forward	1	0	0	–	0.0

VfB Stuttgart

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Jeff Chabot Defender	90	0	0	0.02	72.1
Tiago Tomás Forward	15	0	1	0.06	67.3
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	25	0	0	0.04	64.2
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	84	0	0	0.04	60.2
Chris Führich Midfielder	75	0	0	0.02	59.4
Deniz Undav Forward	84	1	1	0.57	58.3
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.4
Luca Jaquez Defender	75	0	0	–	55.0
Ermedin Demirović Forward	90	1	0	0.11	49.9
Finn Jeltsch Defender	15	0	0	–	49.5
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.5
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	44.9
Lorenz Assignon Defender	65	0	0	–	43.0
Jeremy Arevalo Forward	12	0	0	–	41.4
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.2
Ramon Hendriks Defender	12	0	0	–	35.7