VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 7 Mar 2026

FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Groningen favourites at 54%.

FC Groningen won a close one on the chances: 1.9 xG to 2.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Josip Šutalo, 68.0 in 83′.

Well above their usual level: Anton Gaaei +19.9, Josip Šutalo +16.8, Davy Klaassen +14.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Mar 2026	L 2–3	at FC Volendam Eredivisie
22 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at FC Twente Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v FC Utrecht Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie
31 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie

1 Mar 2026	D 0–0	at PEC Zwolle Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026	W 4–1	v Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
1 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Excelsior Eredivisie

2 Dec 2025	AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Groningen Eredivisie

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Oskar Zawada Forward	31	2	0	0.26	100.0	–
Tika de Jonge Midfielder	21	0	0	–	65.4	–
Etienne Vaessen Goalkeeper	45	0	0	–	57.7	+8.0
Thijmen Blokzijl Defender	90	0	1	–	54.6	+7.1
Tygo Land Midfielder	90	0	0	–	52.5	+6.1
Thom van Bergen Forward	90	1	0	0.58	52.1	+5.7
Rui Mendes Forward	14	0	0	0.15	48.9	–
Travis Hernes Midfielder	69	0	0	0.57	47.2	–
Hidde Jurjus Goalkeeper	45	0	0	–	45.5	–
Dies Janse Defender	90	0	1	–	44.0	−0.9
Tyrique Mercera Defender	45	0	0	–	42.5	−2.0
Jorg Schreuders Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	42.2	−3.4
Marco Rente Defender	45	0	0	–	42.0	−3.1
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson Forward	45	0	0	–	35.2	−8.4
Marvin Peersman Defender	82	0	1	0.15	29.9	−9.8
David van der Werff Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	29.0	−19.0
Wouter Prins Defender	8	0	0	0.08	19.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Takehiro Tomiyasu Defender	8	0	0	–	100.0	–
Josip Šutalo Defender	83	0	0	0.10	68.0	+16.8
Anton Gaaei Defender	90	0	1	0.06	65.0	+19.9
Davy Klaassen Midfielder	69	1	0	0.91	56.5	+14.1
Maher Carrizo Midfielder	13	0	0	–	56.0	–
Youri Baas Defender	90	0	0	–	53.6	−0.4
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder	88	0	0	0.06	53.2	+3.6
Rayane Bounida Forward	21	0	0	0.13	52.2	–
Owen Wijndal Defender	88	0	0	0.16	51.3	+5.7
Mika Godts Forward	90	0	0	0.31	49.7	−4.9
Kasper Dolberg Forward	21	0	0	–	47.5	–
Sean Steur Midfielder	88	0	0	0.03	46.8	+2.1
Wout Weghorst Forward	90	0	0	0.29	46.7	−1.4
Steven Berghuis Forward	69	0	0	0.02	39.8	–
Maarten Paes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	39.4	–
Don-Angelo Konadu Forward	8	0	0	–	38.1	–
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder	8	0	0	–	35.4	–