Moreirense 1–1 CD Nacional
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 0.9 – 1.4
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Moreirense favourites at 45%.
A draw the chances agree with: 0.9 xG to 1.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: André Ferreira, 60.9 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: André Ferreira +16.3, Miguel Baeza +14.4, Lenny Vallier +11.2.
Well below it: Paulinho Bóia −10.7, Mateja Stjepanović −9.8, Gabriel Veron −9.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Moreirense
| 1 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Casa Pia |
| 21 Feb 2026 | L 0–3 | v Sporting CP |
| 16 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | at Rio Ave |
| 7 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | v Gil Vicente |
| 30 Jan 2026 | L 0–1 | at Vitória SC |
CD Nacional
| 28 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | v Sporting Braga |
| 21 Feb 2026 | L 0–3 | at FC Arouca |
| 15 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | v FC Porto |
| 8 Feb 2026 | D 0–0 | v Casa Pia |
| 1 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Sporting CP |
Head to head
| 4 Oct 2025 | CD Nacional 3–2 Moreirense |
Moreirense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira | 90 | 60.9 | +16.3 |
| Maracás | 90 | 49.4 | −0.4 |
| Luís Semedo | 90 | 48.6 | +4.5 |
| Kiko | 90 | 44.2 | +3.5 |
| Alan | 76 | 43.7 | +1.8 |
| Gilberto Batista | 90 | 41.5 | −6.2 |
| Kevyn Monteiro | 12 | 41.1 | – |
| Jimi Gower | 14 | 39.0 | – |
| Leandro Santos | 84 | 38.8 | – |
| Rodrigo Alonso | 64 | 34.1 | −7.6 |
| Mateja Stjepanović | 90 | 33.9 | −9.8 |
| Nile John | 26 | 33.0 | – |
| Kiko Bondoso | 76 | 33.0 | −7.5 |
| Diogo Travassos | 90 | 31.3 | −7.8 |
| Landerson | 14 | 28.4 | – |
CD Nacional
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Júnior | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Lenny Vallier | 90 | 53.7 | +11.2 |
| Miguel Baeza | 89 | 53.2 | +14.4 |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 50.6 | +8.1 |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 47.0 | −0.8 |
| Pablo Messias Cardozo | 21 | 46.9 | – |
| Kaique | 90 | 46.1 | −3.6 |
| Lucas João | 13 | 45.9 | – |
| Liziero | 90 | 42.9 | −2.3 |
| Jesús Ramírez | 84 | 42.1 | −8.0 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 41.0 | −5.9 |
| Alan Núñez | 90 | 39.1 | −0.6 |
| Gabriel Veron | 69 | 37.4 | −9.0 |
| Paulinho Bóia | 90 | 33.8 | −10.7 |