FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Copa do Brasil 2025, Semifinals · 11 Dec 2025

Cruzeiro 0–1 Corinthians

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Standout: Fabrizio Angileri scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Jonathan Jesus

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.2 – 1.5
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Cruzeiro favourites at 53%.

Corinthians won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Memphis Depay, 80.4 in 75′.

Well above their usual level: André Carrillo +28.2, Memphis Depay +23.5, Fabrício Bruno +12.1.

Well below it: Kaio Jorge −13.0, Jonathan Jesus −10.3, Matheus Pereira −9.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Cruzeiro

7 Dec 2025L 0–3at Santos Brasileirão Série A
4 Dec 2025D 2–2v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
30 Nov 2025D 1–1at Ceará Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025W 3–0v Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025D 3–3at Juventude Brasileirão Série A

Corinthians

7 Dec 2025D 1–1v Juventude Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025L 1–2at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
30 Nov 2025D 2–2v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025L 0–3at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025W 3–1v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

23 Nov 2025Cruzeiro 3–0 Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
23 Jul 2025Corinthians 0–0 Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A

Cruzeiro

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Fabrício Bruno Defender90000.0166.8+12.1
William Furtado Defender90000.0659.7+9.2
Lucas Villalba Defender4500–54.4+1.8
Lucas Silva Midfielder8500–52.8+6.7
Luis Sinisterra Forward3000–51.2–
Kaiki Defender90000.1949.9−5.0
Gabriel Barbosa Forward18000.1049.7–
Lucas Romero Midfielder9000–47.4+1.2
Matheus Pereira Midfielder90000.4247.3−9.2
Cássio Goalkeeper9000–46.6−6.8
Keny Arroyo Midfielder72000.1043.3−6.4
Kaio Jorge Forward90000.2342.9−13.0
Jonathan Jesus Defender4500–41.8−10.3
Eduardo Midfielder500–39.9–
Christian Midfielder60000.0537.7−7.9

Corinthians

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Fabrizio Angileri Defender400–100.0–
Memphis Depay Forward75101.2580.4+23.5
André Carrillo Midfielder6500–74.2+28.2
Vitinho Forward25000.0258.7–
Gustavo Henrique Defender9000–57.7+0.0
Hugo Souza Goalkeeper9000–56.0+8.8
Matheus Bidu Defender90000.0454.2+4.0
André Ramalho Defender9000–53.3−2.2
Matheuzinho Defender9000–47.1−4.1
Maycon Midfielder9000–46.5−3.3
José Martínez Midfielder74000.0144.9−3.1
Charles Midfielder1600–44.5–
Yuri Alberto Forward65000.1243.1−4.2
Breno Bidon Midfielder86000.0438.6−7.5
Rodrigo Garro Midfielder1500–34.3–
André Luiz Midfielder2500–32.9–