Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.3 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 1.3 – 0.8
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Nigeria favourites at 67%.
Nigeria won and made the better chances: 1.3 xG to 0.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Novatus Miroshi, 71.8 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Novatus Miroshi +31.1, Semi Ajayi +16.2, Samuel Chukwueze +12.7.
Well below it: Zaidu Sanusi −14.7, Victor Osimhen −8.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Nigeria
| 16 Dec 2025 | L 1–2 | at Egypt |
Tanzania
| 15 Nov 2025 | L 3–4 | at Kuwait |
| 14 Oct 2025 | L 0–2 | at Iran |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Nigeria
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Chukwueze | 59 | 67.5 | +12.7 |
| Alex Iwobi | 90 | 61.2 | +10.1 |
| Ademola Lookman | 90 | 56.3 | +5.1 |
| Moses Simon | 31 | 55.4 | – |
| Semi Ajayi | 90 | 55.1 | +16.2 |
| Calvin Bassey | 90 | 51.6 | −0.5 |
| Wilfred Ndidi | 90 | 49.6 | +5.2 |
| Stanley Nwabali | 90 | 48.7 | – |
| Victor Osimhen | 86 | 46.1 | −8.7 |
| Akor Adams | 59 | 45.8 | −0.3 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | 31 | 42.9 | – |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel | 90 | 41.2 | +3.6 |
| Zaidu Sanusi | 90 | 35.7 | −14.7 |
| Paul Onuachu | 8 | 34.0 | – |
Tanzania
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novatus Miroshi | 90 | 71.8 | +31.1 |
| Dickson Job | 11 | 68.6 | – |
| Shomari Kapombe | 79 | 63.9 | – |
| Zuberi Foba Masudi | 90 | 58.9 | – |
| Bakari Mwamnyeto | 90 | 56.1 | – |
| Simon Msuva | 62 | 55.4 | – |
| Haji Mnoga | 11 | 53.6 | – |
| Charles M'Mombwa | 89 | 53.2 | – |
| Ibrahim Hamad | 90 | 51.7 | – |
| Mohamed Hussein | 90 | 49.3 | – |
| Ally Samatta | 90 | 46.5 | +3.0 |
| Alphonce Msanga | 90 | 44.9 | – |
| Tarryn Allarakhia | 79 | 43.8 | – |
| Kelvin John | 28 | 43.5 | – |
| Denis Kibu | 1 | 35.4 | – |