Africa Cup of Nations 2025, Round of 16 · 4 Jan 2026

South Africa 1–2 Cameroon

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Chances everywhere: 3.7 xG · Standout: Evidence Makgopa scored 94.3 · Breakout watch: Mahamadou Nagida

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.6 – 0.9
Actual xG: 2.5 – 1.2
Goals: 1 – 2

Footybot made South Africa favourites at 54%.

Cameroon won although South Africa made the better chances (2.5 xG to 1.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mahamadou Nagida, 72.3 in 58′.

Well above their usual level: Christian Kofane +10.2, Danny Namaso +8.0.

Well below it: Khuliso Mudau −21.5, Teboho Mokoena −12.9, Ronwen Williams −9.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

South Africa

29 Dec 2025	W 3–2	at Zimbabwe Africa Cup of Nations
26 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Egypt Africa Cup of Nations
22 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Angola Africa Cup of Nations
15 Nov 2025	W 3–1	v Zambia International Friendlies

Cameroon

31 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Mozambique Africa Cup of Nations
28 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Côte d'Ivoire Africa Cup of Nations
24 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Gabon Africa Cup of Nations

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

South Africa

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Evidence Makgopa Forward	27	1	0	0.74	94.3	–
Aubrey Modiba Defender	27	0	1	–	71.5	–
Relebohile Mofokeng Midfielder	75	0	0	0.15	63.3	–
Siyabonga Ngezana Defender	90	0	0	–	58.0	+7.2
Oswin Appollis Midfielder	63	0	0	0.16	56.3	+1.4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi Defender	90	0	0	0.02	52.4	−2.2
Sipho Mbule Midfielder	15	0	0	–	51.6	–
Tshepang Moremi Midfielder	13	0	0	–	51.5	–
Lyle Foster Forward	90	0	0	0.59	50.4	+2.8
Nkosinathi Sibisi Defender	83	0	0	–	49.6	–
Teboho Mokoena Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	48.3	−12.9
Bathusi Aubaas Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	47.8	–
Ronwen Williams Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.5	−9.3
Samukelo Kabini Defender	63	0	0	0.44	40.9	−4.3
Khuliso Mudau Defender	90	0	0	0.32	40.4	−21.5

Cameroon

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Darlin Yongwa Defender	21	0	0	–	81.0	–
Enzo Boyomo Defender	1	0	0	–	76.7	–
Mahamadou Nagida Defender	58	0	1	–	72.3	–
Christopher Wooh Defender	11	0	0	–	60.2	–
Christian Kofane Forward	89	1	0	0.56	58.6	+10.2
Che Malone Defender	90	0	0	0.03	58.4	–
Patrick Soko Forward	1	0	0	–	57.5	–
Danny Namaso Forward	79	0	0	0.05	53.2	+8.0
Samuel Kotto Defender	90	0	1	–	51.7	+0.0
Arthur Avom Ebong Midfielder	90	0	0	0.31	51.5	+5.3
Devis Epassy Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.1	+0.5
Carlos Baleba Midfielder	89	0	0	0.04	50.8	+4.2
Bryan Mbeumo Forward	90	0	0	0.12	47.4	−6.4
Nouhou Tolo Defender	90	0	0	–	45.1	+2.0
Junior Tchamadeu Defender	90	1	0	0.11	42.9	+7.1
Olivier Kemen Midfielder	11	0	0	–	40.7	–