Birmingham City 2–1 Preston North End
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 0.7
- Actual xG
- 1.9 – 2.5
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 65%.
Birmingham City won although Preston North End made the better chances (2.5 xG to 1.9): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Liam Lindsay, 68.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Andrew Hughes +27.6, Liam Lindsay +22.2, Jay Stansfield +20.1.
Well below it: Ethan Laird −20.9, Kai Wagner −14.1, Carlos Vicente −10.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Birmingham City
| 18 Apr 2026 | D 1–1 | at Hull City |
| 12 Apr 2026 | W 2–0 | v Wrexham |
| 6 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | at Ipswich Town |
| 3 Apr 2026 | L 0–1 | v Blackburn Rovers |
| 21 Mar 2026 | L 0–1 | at Derby County |
Preston North End
| 18 Apr 2026 | L 0–2 | v West Bromwich Albion |
| 11 Apr 2026 | W 2–1 | at Charlton Athletic |
| 6 Apr 2026 | D 1–1 | v Queens Park Rangers |
| 3 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | at Leicester City |
| 20 Mar 2026 | W 3–1 | v Stoke City |
Head to head
| 21 Oct 2025 | Preston North End 0–1 Birmingham City |
Birmingham City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Osman | 37 | 57.6 | – |
| James Beadle | 90 | 53.2 | +4.9 |
| Jay Stansfield | 72 | 48.8 | +20.1 |
| Jhon Solís | 18 | 41.6 | – |
| Phil Neumann | 90 | 39.5 | −1.2 |
| Christoph Klarer | 90 | 39.3 | −2.2 |
| Seung Ho Paik | 90 | 38.0 | +0.3 |
| August Priske | 90 | 32.8 | −4.5 |
| Tomoki Iwata | 90 | 29.5 | −4.9 |
| Demarai Gray | 53 | 28.9 | −6.0 |
| Carlos Vicente | 90 | 22.3 | −10.5 |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel | 25 | 20.8 | – |
| Ethan Laird | 65 | 15.7 | −20.9 |
| Kai Wagner | 90 | 12.2 | −14.1 |
Preston North End
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lindsay | 90 | 68.0 | +22.2 |
| Andrew Hughes | 90 | 57.2 | +27.6 |
| Michael Smith | 12 | 54.5 | – |
| Odeluga Offiah | 90 | 43.8 | +14.1 |
| Daniel Iversen | 90 | 43.1 | −9.4 |
| Daniel Jebbison | 17 | 41.4 | – |
| Lewis Dobbin | 84 | 40.1 | +6.4 |
| Alfie Devine | 90 | 39.3 | +4.3 |
| Jordan Thompson | 90 | 38.5 | +1.3 |
| Brad Potts | 65 | 33.6 | −3.3 |
| Milutin Osmajić | 73 | 32.7 | −3.6 |
| Andrija Vukčević | 78 | 30.0 | +3.0 |
| Thierry Small | 17 | 29.5 | – |
| Pol Valentín | 73 | 26.5 | −3.3 |
| Andrew Moran | 25 | 15.9 | – |