Championship 25/26 · 21 Mar 2026

Derby County 1–0 Birmingham City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Derby County favourites at 41%.

Derby County won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: James Beadle, 58.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Rhian Brewster +9.7, James Beadle +9.4, Bobby Clark +9.1.

Well below it: Derry Murkin −19.8, Matt Clarke −16.5, Ethan Laird −12.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

16 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Portsmouth Championship
10 Mar 2026	L 0–1	at Millwall Championship
7 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
28 Feb 2026	W 3–1	v Blackburn Rovers Championship
24 Feb 2026	L 2–4	at Hull City Championship

14 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v Sheffield United Championship
11 Mar 2026	W 1–0	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
7 Mar 2026	L 0–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship
2 Mar 2026	L 1–3	v Middlesbrough Championship
25 Feb 2026	L 0–3	at Millwall Championship

26 Dec 2025	Birmingham City 1–1 Derby County Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rhian Brewster Forward	65	1	0	0.13	51.2	+9.7
Richard O'Donnell Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.4	−12.4
Oscar Fraulo Midfielder	13	0	0	–	39.9	–
Bobby Clark Midfielder	84	0	0	0.02	39.3	+9.1
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder	83	0	0	0.16	38.2	+0.3
David Ozoh Midfielder	12	0	0	–	37.1	–
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	36.3	+1.5
Lewis Travis Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	35.6	+0.1
Jaydon Banel Midfielder	25	0	0	–	30.1	–
Patrick Agyemang Forward	83	0	0	0.54	30.1	−8.1
Joe Ward Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	29.3	−3.4
Matt Clarke Defender	90	0	0	0.17	29.0	−16.5
Dion Sanderson Defender	90	0	0	–	28.9	−10.8
Derry Murkin Defender	90	0	1	–	15.3	−19.8
Carlton Morris Forward	12	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	–	58.9	+9.4
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	–	44.2	+2.3
Marvin Ducksch Forward	59	–	40.8	+0.8
Jack Robinson Defender	90	–	38.2	−8.0
Jonathan Panzo Defender	84	0.03	35.0	−10.8
Jhon Solís Midfielder	31	–	34.6	–
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	12	–	33.1	–
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	–	32.7	−1.3
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	71	–	31.2	+1.5
August Priske Forward	19	0.09	31.2	–
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0.04	29.9	−7.6
Ethan Laird Defender	58	–	29.5	−12.9
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	32	–	29.0	–
Carlos Vicente Midfielder	32	–	28.0	–
Ibrahim Osman Midfielder	58	–	27.1	−5.4
Demarai Gray Midfielder	90	–	25.9	−11.2