FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 16 Mar 2026

Portsmouth 0–1 Derby County

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.7 – 1.0
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Portsmouth favourites at 49%.

Derby County won although Portsmouth made the better chances (1.7 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Richard O'Donnell, 79.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Sammie Szmodics +10.2, Dion Sanderson +9.3.

Well below it: Gustavo Caballero −14.7, Matt Clarke −14.5, Ben Brereton Díaz −14.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Portsmouth

10 Mar 2026L 1–2v Swansea City Championship
7 Mar 2026D 1–1at Blackburn Rovers Championship
28 Feb 2026L 0–1v Hull City Championship
24 Feb 2026L 1–2at Wrexham Championship
21 Feb 2026W 3–1at Millwall Championship

Derby County

10 Mar 2026L 0–1at Millwall Championship
7 Mar 2026W 2–1v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
28 Feb 2026W 3–1v Blackburn Rovers Championship
24 Feb 2026L 2–4at Hull City Championship
21 Feb 2026L 0–2at Watford Championship

Head to head

20 Dec 2025Derby County 1–1 Portsmouth Championship

Portsmouth

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper9000–53.8+3.6
Colby Bishop Forward13000.0241.8–
Jacob Brown Forward83000.5039.6–
Conor Chaplin Midfielder63000.0637.5+1.8
Conor Shaughnessy Defender27000.2336.4–
Makenzie Kirk Forward1500–35.6–
Terry Devlin Defender90000.0135.3+2.5
Regan Poole Defender90000.2933.8−8.3
Ebou Adams Midfielder77000.1033.3−5.5
Connor Ogilvie Defender90000.0532.4−4.8
Zak Swanson Defender63000.0131.9−1.1
Marlon Pack Midfielder90000.1131.8−7.0
John Swift Midfielder2700–26.2–
Gustavo Caballero Midfielder90000.1025.1−14.7
Millenic Alli Midfielder77000.1519.0−7.2
Adrian Segečić Midfielder13000.080.0–

Derby County

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Richard O'Donnell Goalkeeper9000–79.7–
Dion Sanderson Defender90000.0749.2+9.3
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder72100.0947.9+10.2
Jaydon Banel Midfielder15000.0646.4–
Rhian Brewster Forward61000.0942.9+2.6
Carlton Morris Forward18000.0742.8–
Patrick Agyemang Forward72000.2140.7+2.6
Derry Murkin Defender8300–39.9+5.2
Lewis Travis Midfielder9000–34.2−1.2
Oscar Fraulo Midfielder2900–32.5–
Matt Clarke Defender9000–31.2−14.5
Joe Ward Midfielder90000.0827.9−6.2
Bobby Clark Midfielder90000.0824.0−7.5
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder83000.2522.7−14.3
David Ozoh Midfielder1800–22.3–
Craig Forsyth Defender1500–15.6–