Championship 25/26 · 28 Feb 2026

Derby County 3–1 Blackburn Rovers

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Derby County favourites at 45%.

Derby County won and made the better chances: 1.5 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matt Clarke, 51.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Hayden Carter +13.7, Eiran Cashin +10.7, Matt Clarke +10.1.

Well below it: Balázs Tóth −10.6, Bobby Clark −9.9, Patrick Agyemang −9.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

24 Feb 2026	L 2–4	at Hull City Championship
21 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Watford Championship
14 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v Swansea City Championship
7 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v Ipswich Town Championship
30 Jan 2026	W 5–0	at Bristol City Championship

24 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v Bristol City Championship
20 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v Preston North End Championship
14 Feb 2026	W 3–1	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
7 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Norwich City Championship
3 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship

8 Nov 2025	Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Derby County Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rhian Brewster Forward	28	1	0	0.24	66.7	–
Matt Clarke Defender	90	1	0	0.46	51.5	+10.1
Craig Forsyth Defender	8	0	0	–	49.4	–
Josh Vickers Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.0	−1.5
Carlton Morris Forward	62	0	0	–	39.4	−9.7
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder	90	1	0	0.21	37.8	−0.5
Dion Sanderson Defender	90	0	0	–	36.3	−5.3
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder	80	0	0	0.10	33.9	−4.0
Lewis Travis Midfielder	90	0	0	–	33.2	−2.8
Joe Ward Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	30.1	−5.6
Derry Murkin Defender	87	0	2	0.07	29.7	−9.2
Patrick Agyemang Forward	90	0	0	0.34	29.3	−9.7
David Ozoh Midfielder	10	0	0	–	25.8	–
Bobby Clark Midfielder	87	0	0	–	23.1	−9.9
Oscar Fraulo Midfielder	8	0	0	–	1.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Taylor Gardner-Hickman Midfielder	10	0	0	–	77.1	–
Harry Pickering Defender	21	0	0	–	49.7	–
Adam Forshaw Midfielder	56	0	0	0.03	43.4	+4.9
Eiran Cashin Defender	90	0	0	0.04	43.4	+10.7
Hayden Carter Defender	80	1	0	0.09	43.3	+13.7
Yuki Ohashi Forward	90	0	0	0.15	40.0	+2.4
Sean McLoughlin Defender	90	0	0	0.01	38.7	−2.8
Balázs Tóth Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	38.2	−10.6
Kristi Montgomery Midfielder	34	0	0	–	37.7	–
Moussa Baradji Midfielder	80	0	0	0.02	37.1	+2.5
Andri Guðjohnsen Forward	69	0	0	0.28	36.3	−8.5
Ryan Alebiosu Midfielder	90	0	0	–	36.1	+1.9
Ryoya Morishita Midfielder	90	0	0	–	33.2	−2.7
Yuri Ribeiro Defender	69	0	1	0.04	31.3	−0.9
Mathias Jørgensen Forward	21	0	0	–	26.1	–
Dion De Neve Midfielder	10	0	0	–	0.0	–