Championship 25/26 · 24 Feb 2026

Hull City 4–2 Derby County

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Hull City favourites at 51%.

Hull City won although Derby County made the better chances (3.4 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matt Clarke, 50.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Derry Murkin +12.0, Matt Clarke +11.8, Craig Forsyth +9.0.

Well below it: Josh Vickers −26.5, Amir Hadžiahmetović −18.2, Joe Ward −17.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Feb 2026	L 1–3	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
7 Feb 2026	L 2–3	v Bristol City Championship
3 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Watford Championship
31 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Blackburn Rovers Championship
24 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v Swansea City Championship

21 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Watford Championship
14 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v Swansea City Championship
7 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v Ipswich Town Championship
30 Jan 2026	W 5–0	at Bristol City Championship
23 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v West Bromwich Albion Championship

4 Nov 2025	Derby County 2–1 Hull City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lewis Koumas Forward	8	1	0	0.09	100.0	–
Paddy McNair Defender	8	0	0	–	49.4	–
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.3	−5.1
Oliver McBurnie Forward	89	1	1	0.18	43.7	+2.5
Joe Gelhardt Midfielder	82	0	1	0.01	38.4	−1.6
John Egan Defender	90	1	0	0.16	34.3	−4.8
Regan Slater Midfielder	90	0	0	–	32.6	−4.2
Kyle Joseph Forward	90	0	1	0.08	31.9	−13.3
Charlie Hughes Defender	90	0	0	–	29.9	−10.6
Liam Millar Midfielder	82	0	0	0.06	29.8	−2.4
Ryan Giles Defender	53	0	0	0.01	24.1	−5.1
Cody Drameh Defender	37	0	0	–	20.6	–
Amir Hadžiahmetović Midfielder	90	0	0	–	19.8	−18.2
Lewie Coyle Defender	90	0	0	–	13.6	−9.5
Kieran Dowell Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Matt Clarke Defender	90	0	0.22	50.9	+11.8
Derry Murkin Defender	90	0	–	49.3	+12.0
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder	90	1	0.62	41.1	+2.9
Craig Forsyth Defender	90	1	0.76	40.3	+9.0
Callum Elder Midfielder	45	0	–	36.4	+3.7
David Ozoh Midfielder	79	0	0.01	36.1	−3.8
Patrick Agyemang Forward	90	0	0.80	33.3	−6.1
Lewis Travis Midfielder	90	0	0.09	32.5	−3.9
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder	79	0	0.27	32.3	−5.9
Josh Vickers Goalkeeper	90	0	–	29.6	−26.5
Bobby Clark Midfielder	90	0	0.50	20.3	−13.3
Rhian Brewster Forward	11	0	–	19.2	–
Joe Ward Midfielder	45	0	–	19.2	−17.3
Carlton Morris Forward	11	0	0.18	18.5	–