Championship 25/26 · 11 Mar 2026

Birmingham City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 59%.

Birmingham City won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joe Walsh, 57.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Patrick Roberts +16.6, Harvey Vale +14.3, Amadou Salif Mbengue +13.6.

Well below it: Ethan Laird −29.1, Jake Clarke-Salter −16.4, Jay Stansfield −13.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Mar 2026	L 0–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship
2 Mar 2026	L 1–3	v Middlesbrough Championship
25 Feb 2026	L 0–3	at Millwall Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Norwich City Championship
10 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v West Bromwich Albion Championship

8 Mar 2026	L 0–4	v Middlesbrough Championship
28 Feb 2026	L 0–2	v Sheffield United Championship
24 Feb 2026	L 0–5	at Southampton Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 3–1	at Hull City Championship
14 Feb 2026	L 1–3	v Blackburn Rovers Championship

9 Dec 2025	Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Birmingham City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	76	1	0	0.26	50.6	+16.6
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.0	+0.1
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.8	+13.1
Jack Robinson Defender	90	0	0	0.03	48.2	+1.5
Jonathan Panzo Defender	25	0	0	–	40.1	–
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	1	0	0	–	38.1	–
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	0.21	36.4	−8.3
Marvin Ducksch Forward	76	0	0	0.35	34.3	−7.1
Jhon Solís Midfielder	90	0	0	–	34.0	−5.8
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	32.9	+0.2
Ibrahim Osman Midfielder	65	0	1	0.16	32.5	−3.2
Carlos Vicente Midfielder	14	0	0	0.13	27.5	–
Demarai Gray Midfielder	25	0	0	0.07	22.5	–
Ethan Laird Defender	65	0	0	0.19	20.4	−29.1
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	89	0	0	0.11	18.8	−13.0
Kanya Fujimoto Midfielder	14	0	0	–	14.3	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Joe Walsh Goalkeeper	90	–	57.4	+12.3
Isaac Hayden Midfielder	11	–	51.4	–
Harvey Vale Midfielder	90	0.06	43.6	+14.3
Jimmy Dunne Defender	90	–	41.6	−3.0
Ronnie Edwards Defender	90	–	41.4	+8.4
Rayan Kolli Forward	45	0.13	40.2	+1.9
Jonathan Varane Midfielder	45	–	39.2	+3.0
Steve Cook Defender	58	–	37.7	−2.7
Kieran Morgan Midfielder	45	–	36.9	+4.1
Amadou Salif Mbengue Defender	90	0.03	36.0	+13.6
Richard Kone Forward	90	0.10	36.0	−1.2
Kwame Poku Midfielder	20	0.03	32.7	–
Rhys Norrington-Davies Defender	32	0.02	31.5	–
Koki Saito Midfielder	45	–	31.3	−0.6
Jake Clarke-Salter Defender	79	–	28.7	−16.4
Paul Smyth Midfielder	70	–	28.6	−4.8