Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 25 Apr 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 2.2
Actual xG
2.5 – 2.0
Goals
3 – 4

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 54%.

FC Bayern München won although 1. FSV Mainz 05 made the better chances (2.5 xG to 2.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jamal Musiala, 86.9 in 33′.

1. FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Anthony Caci Midfielder1000–76.6
Lennard Maloney Midfielder11000.0661.7
Kaishu Sano Midfielder90010.0761.0
Sheraldo Becker Forward71100.8559.9
Dominik Kohr Defender85100.1557.1
Paul Nebel Midfielder85100.6254.9
Stefan Posch Defender90000.0554.0
Silvan Widmer Midfielder80000.1053.4
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder79000.4952.9
Nelson Weiper Forward1300–46.7
Phillip Tietz Forward9000–45.7
Armindo Sieb Forward19000.0444.3
William Bøving Forward1300–40.6
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder9000–40.2
Danny da Costa Defender90000.0638.1
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper9000–27.9

FC Bayern München

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Jamal Musiala Midfielder33100.9986.9
Michael Olise Midfielder45100.0174.6
Jonathan Tah Defender1300–74.2
Kim Min-jae Defender9000–69.9
Harry Kane Forward45100.1966.3
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Midfielder7700–64.4
Alphonso Davies Defender57000.1562.1
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder4500–60.9
Hiroki Itō Defender9000–60.8
Konrad Laimer Defender90020.0158.0
Nicolas Jackson Forward90100.5157.6
Leon Goretzka Midfielder9000–52.9
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper9000–45.9
Josip Stanišić Defender3300–45.9
Luis Díaz Midfielder4500–42.3
Raphaël Guerreiro Defender57000.1030.3