1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 19% · Standout: Assan Ouédraogo scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Ezechiel Banzuzi
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.1 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 0.9 – 1.8
- Goals
- 0 – 1
Footybot made 1. FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 61%.
RB Leipzig won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.9.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Willi Orbán, 84.3 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Willi Orbán +27.9.
Well below it: Nadiem Amiri −19.4, Anthony Caci −17.9, Phillipp Mwene −15.1.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
1. FSV Mainz 05
| 31 Aug 2025 | D 1–1 | at VfL Wolfsburg |
| 28 Aug 2025 | W 4–1 | v Rosenborg BK |
| 24 Aug 2025 | L 0–1 | v 1. FC Köln |
| 21 Aug 2025 | L 1–2 | at Rosenborg BK |
RB Leipzig
| 30 Aug 2025 | W 2–0 | v 1. FC Heidenheim |
| 22 Aug 2025 | L 0–6 | at FC Bayern München |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Bell | 15 | 59.1 | – |
| Dominik Kohr | 90 | 57.9 | +2.1 |
| Andreas Hanche Olsen | 75 | 52.7 | −9.4 |
| Armindo Sieb | 25 | 51.0 | – |
| Robin Zentner | 90 | 48.4 | −1.7 |
| Kaishu Sano | 90 | 44.6 | −3.6 |
| Anthony Caci | 75 | 44.1 | −17.9 |
| Arnaud Nordin | 75 | 43.9 | – |
| Nadiem Amiri | 90 | 42.8 | −19.4 |
| Danny da Costa | 90 | 42.4 | −10.9 |
| Phillipp Mwene | 75 | 38.8 | −15.1 |
| Nelson Weiper | 90 | 38.5 | −8.5 |
| Sota Kawasaki | 15 | 35.4 | – |
| William Bøving | 65 | 33.1 | – |
| Silvan Widmer | 15 | 32.1 | – |
| Nikolas Veratschnig | 15 | 22.7 | – |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assan Ouédraogo | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Willi Orbán | 90 | 84.3 | +27.9 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 66 | 63.3 | – |
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | 58 | 60.6 | – |
| Antonio Nusa | 66 | 60.5 | +7.4 |
| Castello Lukeba | 90 | 59.7 | – |
| David Raum | 90 | 57.2 | −8.6 |
| Yan Diomande | 24 | 57.2 | – |
| Péter Gulácsi | 90 | 56.0 | – |
| Xaver Schlager | 32 | 54.3 | – |
| Nicolas Seiwald | 90 | 52.6 | +1.1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 89 | 49.9 | −2.1 |
| Rômulo | 89 | 47.2 | – |
| Ridle Baku | 90 | 47.1 | – |
| Conrad Harder | 24 | 41.9 | – |
| Kevin Kampl | 1 | 36.1 | – |