FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Ligue 1 25/26 · 26 Apr 2026

Olympique de Marseille 1–1 Nice

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 18% · Chances everywhere: 3.8 xG · Standout: Ali Abdi scored 97.3 · Breakout watch: Abdulai Juma Bah

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.5 – 1.2
Actual xG
2.3 – 1.5
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Olympique de Marseille favourites at 66%.

Olympique de Marseille deserved more from the draw, creating 2.3 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Sofiane Diop, 77.3 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Sofiane Diop +28.2, Elye Wahi +16.4, Leonardo Balerdi +14.7.

Well below it: Morgan Sanson −15.4, Antoine Mendy −11.4, Jonathan Clauss −11.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Olympique de Marseille

18 Apr 2026L 0–2at Lorient Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026W 3–1v Metz Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026L 1–2at AS Monaco Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026L 1–2v Lille Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026W 1–0v Auxerre Ligue 1

Nice

22 Apr 2026W 2–0at RC Strasbourg Coupe de France
18 Apr 2026D 0–0at Lille Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026D 1–1v Le Havre Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026L 1–3at RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026L 0–4v Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1

Head to head

21 Nov 2025Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Leonardo Balerdi Defender90001.0168.1+14.7
Mason Greenwood Midfielder27000.0464.5–
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder90100.4160.6+10.1
Nouhoum Kamissoko Midfielder10000.0455.9–
Timothy Weah Midfielder90000.0351.9+3.8
Tochukwu Nnadi Midfielder80010.2349.9+8.5
Benjamin Pavard Defender9000–48.3−3.4
Arthur Vermeeren Midfielder63000.1445.6−3.8
Emerson Defender6200–44.7−10.0
Gerónimo Rulli Goalkeeper90000.0443.5−3.3
Facundo Medina Defender9000–43.5−4.8
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Forward90000.3241.8−8.3
Tadjidine Mmadi Forward28000.0641.2–
Quinten Timber Midfielder8100–40.9−6.9
Himad Abdelli Midfielder900–37.2–

Nice

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ali Abdi Defender900–97.3–
Sofiane Diop Midfielder4500–77.3+28.2
Elye Wahi Forward89101.0963.3+16.4
Kaïl Boudache Forward23000.3261.2–
Yehvann Diouf Goalkeeper9000–56.0+8.8
Hicham Boudaoui Midfielder9000–52.7+8.7
Abdulai Juma Bah Defender9000–52.4+0.7
Kojo Peprah Oppong Defender9000–52.1+0.3
Jonathan Clauss Midfielder9000–47.2−11.0
Melvin Bard Defender8100–45.0−2.4
Mohamed Ali Cho Forward6700–40.8−6.8
Antoine Mendy Defender9000–39.7−11.4
Salis Abdul Samed Midfielder8100–36.1−7.0
Morgan Sanson Midfielder45000.0432.9−15.4
Charles Vanhoutte Midfielder800–32.3–
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Forward900–28.6–