Serie A 25/26 · 22 May 2026

Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Breakout watch: Pietro Comuzzo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Fiorentina favourites at 50%.

Atalanta deserved more from the draw, creating 1.4 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Davide Zappacosta, 81.8 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Davide Zappacosta +32.9, Oliver Christensen +22.9, Marten de Roon +13.8.

Well below it: Lazar Samardžić −11.9, Yunus Musah −8.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

30 Nov 2025	Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina Serie A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Oliver Christensen Goalkeeper	87	0	0	–	72.0	+22.9
Luca Lezzerini Goalkeeper	3	0	0	–	64.3	–
Manor Solomon Forward	14	0	0	–	60.5	–
Jack Harrison Forward	90	0	0	0.09	54.9	+5.5
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder	90	0	0	0.31	49.1	+1.2
Albert Guðmundsson Forward	76	0	0	–	49.0	−0.3
Roberto Piccoli Forward	90	1	0	0.25	48.2	+4.0
Cher Ndour Midfielder	23	0	0	–	46.4	–
Daniele Rugani Defender	67	0	0	0.10	45.5	−2.8
Pietro Comuzzo Defender	90	0	0	–	45.3	−1.5
Dodô Defender	90	0	0	–	45.2	−5.5
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	44.5	−5.7
Marin Pongračić Defender	23	0	0	–	39.8	–
Marco Brescianini Midfielder	67	0	1	–	38.9	−6.3
Robin Gosens Defender	76	0	0	–	38.7	−4.6
Luís Balbo Defender	14	0	0	–	29.8	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder	45	0.06	81.8	+32.9
Marten de Roon Midfielder	81	0.08	58.6	+13.8
Kamaldeen Sulemana Forward	81	0.19	57.4	+11.3
Giacomo Raspadori Forward	90	0.19	54.7	+3.8
Mario Pašalić Midfielder	90	0.60	54.3	+1.0
Dominic Vavassori Forward	9	–	52.7	–
Isak Hien Defender	90	0.05	52.0	−2.3
Honest Ahanor Defender	90	0.04	51.8	+2.5
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder	45	–	50.2	+2.4
Marco Sportiello Goalkeeper	90	–	50.1	–
Giorgio Scalvini Defender	67	–	49.5	−5.4
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder	62	0.14	47.4	−11.9
Yunus Musah Midfielder	90	0.04	44.5	−8.3
Berat Djimsiti Defender	23	–	43.3	–
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	28	–	41.1	–
Gianluca Scamacca Forward	9	–	39.7	–