Mirassol 1–0 Fluminense
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 0.5 – 0.6
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Mirassol favourites at 45%.
Mirassol won a close one on the chances: 0.5 xG to 0.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Denilson, 66.6 in 57′.
Well above their usual level: Denilson +23.7, Jemmes +15.7, Renê +14.1.
Well below it: João Victor −8.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Mirassol
| 20 May 2026 | W 2–1 | at Club Always Ready |
| 16 May 2026 | L 1–3 | at Atlético Mineiro |
| 13 May 2026 | W 2–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 10 May 2026 | D 1–1 | v Chapecoense |
| 7 May 2026 | W 2–0 | v LDU |
Fluminense
| 19 May 2026 | W 2–1 | v Bolívar |
| 16 May 2026 | W 2–1 | v São Paulo |
| 13 May 2026 | W 2–1 | v Operário-PR |
| 9 May 2026 | D 2–2 | v Vitória |
| 7 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at Independiente Rivadavia |
Head to head
| 6 Nov 2025 | Fluminense 1–0 Mirassol |
| 9 Oct 2025 | Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense |
Mirassol
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denilson | 57 | 66.6 | +23.7 |
| Walter | 90 | 50.4 | −1.7 |
| Willian Machado | 90 | 49.2 | +5.5 |
| Eduardo | 19 | 46.7 | – |
| Edson Carioca | 88 | 45.9 | +3.4 |
| Alesson | 71 | 45.8 | +1.1 |
| Carlos Eduardo | 71 | 43.0 | +1.9 |
| Daniel Borges | 90 | 42.7 | −2.4 |
| Reinaldo | 88 | 40.9 | −0.2 |
| Lucas Oliveira | 8 | 40.0 | – |
| João Victor | 90 | 39.7 | −8.8 |
| Chico | 33 | 39.5 | – |
| José Aldo | 90 | 38.6 | −4.0 |
| Shaylon | 90 | 38.4 | −0.1 |
| Nathan Fogaça | 19 | 37.9 | – |
| Victor Luis | 8 | 37.4 | – |
Fluminense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jemmes | 90 | 62.4 | +15.7 |
| Fábio | 90 | 61.8 | +13.0 |
| Riquelme Felipe | 22 | 61.6 | – |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 68 | 61.3 | +4.1 |
| Renê | 76 | 60.3 | +14.1 |
| Samuel Xavier | 90 | 54.3 | +12.1 |
| Nonato | 60 | 50.2 | −1.9 |
| John Kennedy | 76 | 46.8 | +0.3 |
| Hércules | 30 | 46.6 | – |
| Juan Pablo Freytes | 90 | 45.1 | −3.7 |
| Facundo Bernal | 90 | 44.8 | −2.1 |
| Luciano Acosta | 60 | 44.6 | −7.8 |
| Kevin Serna | 90 | 41.5 | −3.8 |
| Guilherme Arana | 14 | 39.7 | – |
| Germán Cano | 30 | 37.1 | – |
| Wesley Natã | 14 | 33.5 | – |